Regional Alliances between states: historical review and future projections for Ukraine

IF 6.3 2区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Foreign Affairs Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.46493/2663-2675-2021-3-4-2
Volodymyr Chupyra
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Abstract

Following article refl ects political and political military al liances as means to solve defense challenges that threaten sov ereignty and territorial integrity, among other those of Ukraine. The article evaluates several historical examples of such regional alliances, their benefi ts and drawbacks and how these aff ected the dynamics of international politics. Typical alliances established in pre-modern times, were either temporary and of personal nature or tended to develop into actual unions, limiting the sovereignty of its members. In the modern era though, military-political alliances prevailed, initiated either to perceive imperialist intentions or to protect sovereignty and territorial integrity. Such alliances became especially relevant after the First World War, as new independent states emerged under the terms of the Versailles system and a new confi guration of international borders was established. The examples of Little, Balkan and Baltic Ententes demonstrate the prime shortcoming of these alliances being unable to maintain eff ectiveness in the face of changing sources of threat, when former enemies became allies under new international circumstances. Given that the possibility of Ukraine’s membership to NATO still seems to be a distant pros pect and the need to protect Ukraine’s sovereignty from growing Russian aggression when the position of EU leaders is not always consolidated, further ways of countering Russian aggression must be explored, for instance accumulating possible political or even limited military assistance. From this perspective, it could be ef fective to establish close military-political ties with East European countries, which are as well aware of the degree of threat coming from Russia for their own sovereignty. Certain opportunities could be realized based on the ideas known as Intermarium Coalition in East-Central Europe, the Baltic to Black Sea Alliance, or though achieving Major Non-NATO Ally (MNNA) status for Ukraine.
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国家间的地区联盟:乌克兰的历史回顾与未来展望
以下文章反映了政治和政治军事联盟作为解决威胁主权和领土完整的国防挑战的手段,其中包括乌克兰。本文评估了几个历史上这种地区联盟的例子,它们的利弊,以及它们是如何影响国际政治动态的。在前现代建立的典型联盟,要么是暂时的,个人性质的,要么倾向于发展成实际的联盟,限制其成员的主权。然而,在现代,军事政治联盟盛行,要么是为了察觉帝国主义的意图,要么是为了保护主权和领土完整。第一次世界大战后,随着新的独立国家在凡尔赛条约的条款下出现,新的国际边界格局得以确立,这种联盟变得尤为重要。小协约、巴尔干协约和波罗的海协约的例子表明,这些联盟的主要缺点是,当以前的敌人在新的国际环境下成为盟友时,面对不断变化的威胁来源,它们无法保持有效。考虑到乌克兰加入北约的可能性似乎仍然是一个遥远的前景,以及在欧盟领导人的地位并不总是稳固的情况下,保护乌克兰的主权不受俄罗斯日益增长的侵略的需要,必须探索对抗俄罗斯侵略的进一步方法,例如积累可能的政治甚至有限的军事援助。从这个角度来看,与东欧国家建立密切的军事政治关系可能是有效的,这些国家也意识到来自俄罗斯对其主权的威胁程度。某些机会可以基于所谓的东中欧跨国联盟、波罗的海至黑海联盟的想法,或者通过实现乌克兰的主要非北约盟国(MNNA)地位来实现。
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来源期刊
Foreign Affairs
Foreign Affairs INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: Founded in 1922, Foreign Affairs is a prominent American magazine that focuses on international relations and U.S. foreign policy. It is published by the Council on Foreign Relations, an esteemed nonpartisan think tank and membership organization dedicated to analyzing U.S. foreign policy and global affairs. While the print magazine is released every two months, the website offers daily articles and publishes anthologies every other month.
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