Forecast of water consumption in Serbia: ARIMA modeling

Danilo Gazdić, Srboljub Nikolić
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Abstract

Water is a symbol of life. Along with air and food, water is a basic existential need. These facts begin to act more strongly on people's opinion and behavior only when he faced with water supply problems. The question is, how to produce more food in these times of growing need for it, while water resources are limited. The Republic of Serbia has a very significant water capacity. Estimation shows that renewable freshwater resources in Serbia are round 55877.93 million of m 3 /per year (Eurostat, 2020). However, water consumption in Serbia is constantly growing, while population is slightly decreasing, which arise the need for time series analysis of water consumption as a tool for future forecast of water consumption.
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塞尔维亚用水量预测:ARIMA模型
水是生命的象征。与空气和食物一样,水是生存的基本需求。只有当人们面对供水问题时,这些事实才开始对人们的观点和行为产生更强烈的影响。问题是,在水资源有限的情况下,如何在对粮食需求不断增长的时代生产更多的粮食。塞尔维亚共和国的水容量非常大。估计显示,塞尔维亚的可再生淡水资源约为每年558.7793亿立方米(欧盟统计局,2020年)。但是,塞尔维亚的用水量不断增加,而人口却略有减少,因此需要对用水量进行时间序列分析,作为今后预测用水量的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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0.00%
发文量
3
审稿时长
12 weeks
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