Impact of capital structure on bank profitability in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Valentina Bošnjak, Džafer Alibegović
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Abstract

Research of the relationship between the structure of sources of financing and the value of the company are numerous in developed markets and for non-financial companies. However, in the markets of developing countries, and especially in the banking sector, the range of research is much narrower. In this paper, we investigate the existence, direction and intensity of the relationship between capital structure and profitability of banks in the Federation of B&H. The entire population of banks in the Federation of B&H, in the period from 2009-2018, served as a sample. As independent variables, parameters of the structure of financing sources, we chose the debt-to-assets ratio, and debt-to-equity ratio, and as dependent variables, bank value indicators, we took profitability measures, i.e., ROA, ROE, and the net profit margin. In addition to the variables that describe the capital structure, the relationship of which is the topic of this paper, as control variables we used additional variables specific to banks, which describe the bank's liquidity, credit risk exposure, operating cost management, size, and market share. The impact of the macroeconomic environment is observed through the assessment of inflation and gross national income per capita, which indicate the direction of the economic cycle for a given year. The results of the research testify to the weak connection between the structure of sources of financing and return on assets, i.e., the negative connection between financial leverage and return on capital. This outcome first relativizes the significance of Modigliani-Miller's position on the irrelevance of capital structure, and then raises the question of the validity of traditional theory. The establishment and management of the capital structure of local banks can only be explained by the pecking order theory.
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波黑联邦资本结构对银行盈利能力的影响
在发达市场和非金融公司中,对融资来源结构与公司价值之间关系的研究很多。然而,在发展中国家的市场,特别是在银行部门,研究的范围要窄得多。本文研究了B&H联合会银行资本结构与盈利能力关系的存在性、方向和强度。2009年至2018年期间,B&H联合会的所有银行人口作为样本。作为自变量,我们选择了资产负债率和权益负债率作为融资来源结构的参数;作为因变量,我们选择了银行价值指标的盈利能力指标,即ROA、ROE和净利润率。除了描述资本结构的变量(它们之间的关系是本文的主题)之外,我们还使用了银行特有的其他变量作为控制变量,这些变量描述了银行的流动性、信贷风险敞口、运营成本管理、规模和市场份额。通过对通货膨胀和人均国民总收入的评估来观察宏观经济环境的影响,这两项指标表明某一年经济周期的方向。研究结果证明了融资来源结构与资产收益率之间存在弱关联,即财务杠杆与资本收益率之间存在负相关关系。这一结果首先相对化了莫迪利亚尼-米勒关于资本结构无关性的立场的重要性,然后提出了传统理论有效性的问题。地方银行资本结构的建立和管理只能用啄序理论来解释。
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