Genomic prediction of seasonal forage yield in perennial ryegrass

Agnieszka Konkolewska, Steffie Phang, Patrick Conaghan, Dan Milbourne, Aonghus Lawlor, Stephen Byrne
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Abstract

Background

Genomic selection has the potential to accelerate genetic gain in perennial ryegrass breeding, provided complex traits such as forage yield can be predicted with sufficient accuracy.

Methods

In this study, we compared modelling approaches and feature selection strategies to evaluate the accuracy of genomic prediction models for seasonal forage yield production.

Results

Overall, model selection had limited impact on predictive ability when using the full data set. For a baseline genomic best linear unbiased prediction model, the highest mean predictive accuracy was obtained for spring grazing (0.78), summer grazing (0.62) and second cut silage (0.56). In terms of feature selection strategies, using uncorrelated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) had no impact on predictive ability, allowing for a potential decrease of the data set dimensions. With a genome-wide association study, we found a significant SNP marker for spring grazing, located in the genic region annotated as coding for an enzyme responsible for fucosylation of xyloglucans—major components of the plant cell wall. We also presented an approach to increase interpretability of genomic prediction models with the use of Gene Ontology enrichment analysis.

Conclusions

Approaches for feature selection will be relevant in development of low-cost genotyping platforms in support of routine and cost-effective implementation of genomic selection.

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多年生黑麦草季节性牧草产量的基因组预测
背景基因组选择在多年生黑麦草育种中具有加速遗传增益的潜力,前提是能够足够准确地预测牧草产量等复杂性状。方法在本研究中,我们比较了建模方法和特征选择策略,以评估季节性牧草产量生产的基因组预测模型的准确性。结果总体而言,当使用完整的数据集时,模型选择对预测能力的影响有限。对于基线基因组最佳线性无偏预测模型,春季放牧(0.78)、夏季放牧(0.62)和二切青贮饲料(0.56)的平均预测准确率最高。在特征选择策略方面,使用不相关单核苷酸多态性(SNPs)对预测能力没有影响,允许数据集维度的潜在降低。通过一项全基因组关联研究,我们发现了一个重要的春季放牧SNP标记,位于基因区,被注释为编码一种负责木葡聚糖岩藻糖基化的酶,木葡聚糖是植物细胞壁的主要成分。我们还提出了一种使用基因本体论富集分析来提高基因组预测模型可解释性的方法。结论特征选择方法将与开发低成本基因分型平台相关,以支持基因组选择的常规和成本效益实施。
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