Doing business in the new world disorder: Assessing, understanding, and effectively responding to the challenges of social and poliltical instability within emerging markets

Guntram F. A. Werther
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Failure to understand the social and political dynamics of countries and regions is one of the primary causes of business failures within overseas markets. In the past several years, it has cost companies billions of dollars in wasted time, effort, and investment. Succeeding within the “New World Disorder” requires that executives and managers bring new multi-disciplinary skills to their analyses of how societies react to foreign investment and change. Successfully developing areas share specific characteristics that most societies do not possess, and are unlikely to gain within any reasonable time period. In consequence, metropole development—rather than global, regional, or national development—is the rule. A key skill will lie in correctly predicting where growth is likely, and where it is not. Developing useful insights from appropriate analytical skills requires both comparative and case study competencies, a good sense of history, and a commitment to spending as much effort on mastering relevant social, political, and cultural knowledge as one spends on product development. Since the post-Cold War world is very different from the rest of the 20th century, failure to understand the nature and consequences of these differences will generate business failure well into the 21st century. Successful companies will be those that integrate traditional business skills with social science competencies to produce winning analyses of change. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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在新的世界混乱中做生意:评估、理解并有效应对新兴市场社会和政治不稳定的挑战
未能了解国家和地区的社会和政治动态是海外市场商业失败的主要原因之一。在过去的几年里,它浪费了公司数十亿美元的时间、精力和投资。在“新世界混乱”中取得成功需要高管和管理人员在分析社会对外国投资和变化的反应时引入新的多学科技能。成功发展的地区具有大多数社会所不具备的特定特征,在任何合理的时间内都不太可能获得。因此,大都市的发展——而不是全球、区域或国家的发展——才是规律。一项关键技能在于正确预测哪里可能增长,哪里不可能增长。从适当的分析技能中获得有用的见解需要具备比较能力和案例研究能力,具有良好的历史感,并致力于在掌握相关的社会、政治和文化知识方面投入与在产品开发上投入一样多的精力。由于冷战后的世界与20世纪其他地区大不相同,如果不了解这些差异的性质和后果,将导致21世纪的商业失败。成功的公司将是那些将传统商业技能与社会科学能力相结合,对变革进行成功分析的公司。©1997 John Wiley&;股份有限公司。
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