{"title":"TAKING A SNAPSHOT: Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA","authors":"K. Fridrichová, A. Ilavská","doi":"10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.","PeriodicalId":40204,"journal":{"name":"Obrana a Strategie-Defence & Strategy","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Obrana a Strategie-Defence & Strategy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.
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