THRESHOLDS IN FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

J. Berthelemy, Aristomène Varoudakis
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引用次数: 25

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to assess the existence of threshold effects in economic growth, linked to the development of the banking sector. We, first, discuss the possibility of multiple steady state equilibria doe to reciprocal externalities between the banking sector and the real sector. To check the existence of multiple steady states, associated with both financial development and educational development, we perform stability tests on a 'Barro-type' conditional [beta]-convergence equation. Optimal splits of our ninety-one-country sample are then estimated through a maximum likelihood method. We thus define 'convergence clubs', characterized by educational and banking sector development indicators, which exhibit specific behavior as regards the factors determining long-run growth. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester
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金融发展和经济增长的门槛
本文的目的是评估与银行业发展相关的经济增长中是否存在门槛效应。首先,我们讨论了银行部门和实体部门之间相互外部性的多重稳态均衡的可能性。为了检验与金融发展和教育发展相关的多个稳定状态的存在性,我们对“barro型”条件[β]收敛方程进行了稳定性检验。然后通过最大似然方法估计我们91个国家样本的最佳分裂。因此,我们定义了“收敛俱乐部”,以教育和银行业发展指标为特征,这些指标在决定长期增长的因素方面表现出特定的行为。版权归布莱克威尔出版有限公司和曼彻斯特维多利亚大学1995
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