International Investment Positions, Gross Capital Flows, and Global Liquidity

T. Iwamoto
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

To begin with, we analyzed the contrasting structure of the US and Japan’s international investment positions (IIPs) and their asymmetric movements of “valuation effects” derived from different IIP structures (exorbitant privilege and duty) before and after the global financial crisis (GFC). Then, we realized that a signifi cant impact on the GFC was not current account imbalances, which are equal to the net capital flows from Asian surplus countries to the US as a deficit country (global saving glut), but the gross capital flows between the US and Europe, both of which run current account deficits. Finally, we investigated the idea that the gross capital flows from the US to Europe represented the raising of wholesale funding through the US money market funds (MMFs) by European banks’ US branches and subsid iaries and then shipping it to their headquarters. From the viewpoint of the banking sector, these gross capital flows are in a large part regarded as global liquidity, espe cially non - core liabilities supplied by the US shadow banking system.
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国际投资头寸,总资本流动和全球流动性
首先,我们分析了美国和日本在全球金融危机(GFC)前后国际投资头寸(IIP)结构的差异,以及不同IIP结构(过高的特权和义务)导致的“估值效应”的不对称运动。然后,我们意识到,对全球金融危机产生重大影响的不是经常账户失衡,而是美国和欧洲之间的总资本流动,这两个国家都存在经常账户赤字。经常账户失衡等于亚洲盈余国家向作为赤字国家的美国的净资本流动(全球储蓄过剩)。最后,我们调查了这样一种观点,即从美国流向欧洲的总资本流,代表了欧洲银行在美国的分支机构和子公司通过美国货币市场基金(mmf)筹集批发资金,然后将其运往总部。从银行业的角度来看,这些资本流动总额在很大程度上被视为全球流动性,尤其是美国影子银行体系提供的非核心负债。
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