A Data Driven Method to Predict and Restore Missing Well Head Flow Pressure

Ruijie Huang, Chenji Wei, Baozhu Li, L. Xiong, Jian Yang, Suwei Wu, Yan Gao, Shuangshuang Liu, Chenjun Zhang, Yuankeli Lou, Zhengzhong Li
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Abstract

With the rapid development of oilfield exploration and development technology and the continuous improvement of automation and informationization, the petroleum industry has entered the era of digitalization and intelligence. Surveillance data including pressure and saturation play increasingly role of reservoir development machine learning modelling. A large amount of high-quality data can enhance the accuracy and robustness of the neural network model. However, during actual reservoir development, not all data are easily available. Data acquisition is limited to high-cost tests techniques, pressure bulid-up test, reservoir saturation test, and production logging test etc. In this study, we develop a novel workflow to forecast and restore missing well head flow pressure (WHFP) by utilizing Random Forest (RF) algorithms based on the actual dataset obtained from the middle east carbonate reservoir. To evaluate the effect of prediction pressure results, we employed predicted WHFP into production prediction neural network model. With the support of predicted WHFP, the quality and accuracy of neural network production prediction model is much improved. This study provides a low-cost and high-precision WHFP prediction and restoration method for reservoir engineers in decision making.
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一种数据驱动方法预测和恢复缺失井口流量压力
随着油田勘探开发技术的快速发展和自动化、信息化水平的不断提高,石油工业已进入数字化、智能化时代。包括压力和饱和度在内的监测数据在油藏开发机器学习建模中发挥着越来越重要的作用。大量的高质量数据可以提高神经网络模型的准确性和鲁棒性。然而,在实际的油藏开发过程中,并非所有的数据都是容易获得的。数据采集仅限于高成本的测试技术、压力累积测试、储层饱和度测试、生产测井测试等。在这项研究中,我们基于中东碳酸盐岩储层的实际数据集,利用随机森林(RF)算法开发了一种新的工作流程来预测和恢复缺失的井口流量压力(WHFP)。为了评价压力预测结果的效果,我们将预测的WHFP引入到产量预测神经网络模型中。在预测WHFP的支持下,神经网络产量预测模型的质量和精度得到了很大的提高。本研究为油藏工程师的决策提供了一种低成本、高精度的WHFP预测与恢复方法。
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