A critique of using real options pricing models in valuing real estate projects and contracts

Abstract

Discounted cash flow (DCF) models have been criticised for using risky discount rates and subjective estimates of future cash flows. In addition, DCF models do not incorporate valuations of implicit options imbedded in capital projects. Recently, researchers have applied real options pricing models to evaluate real estate projects and contracts. However, the required assumptions and criteria for using these models may be absent in real estate projects, which raises the question whether these models produce better results or create more uncertainties for end users. This paper contains a review of the conditions and methods that have been proposed for applying real option models in real estate valuations. Copyright © 2002 Henry Stewart Publications