The United States and Revolutions

IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI:10.15367/com.v3i1.583
David T. Jervis
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Abstract

Revolutions are rare in human history. This study details and evaluates American policy toward five truly revolutionary situations in the post-World War II era: China, Cuba, Vietnam, Iran, and Nicaragua. American policy in these cases progressed through four relatively distinct phases: (1) American officials failed to recognize the seriousness of the threat to the incumbent pro-American regime. (2) Once policymakers became aware of the threatening situation, they encouraged the leader in the target state to initiate reforms. (3) Failure of the reform effort and a successful opposition movement led the U.S. to seek to guide the transition to a new regime. (4) While opposed to the regime which was eventually established, the U.S. still hoped to establish productive relations with it. The prevailing pattern in these cases is attributed to a misunderstanding of Third World realities and the processes of change there, and to exaggerated notions of American influence. The concluding portion of the article recommends ways to improve American perceptions and policy in such situations.
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美国和革命
革命在人类历史上是罕见的。本研究详细分析并评估了美国在二战后对中国、古巴、越南、伊朗和尼加拉瓜这五个真正革命形势的政策。在这些情况下,美国的政策经历了四个相对不同的阶段:(1)美国官员未能认识到现任亲美政权所面临威胁的严重性。(2)政策制定者一旦意识到形势的威胁,就会鼓励目标国家的领导人发起改革。改革努力的失败和反对派运动的成功导致美国寻求指导向新政权的过渡。(4)美国虽然反对这个最终建立起来的政权,但仍然希望与它建立富有成效的关系。在这些情况下的普遍模式归因于对第三世界的现实和那里的变化进程的误解,以及对美国影响力的夸大看法。文章的最后部分提出了改善美国在这种情况下的认知和政策的方法。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Long established as the leading publication in its field, the journal of Commonwealth and Comparative Politics contains scholarly articles which both report original research on the politics of Commonwealth countries and relate their findings to issues of general significance for students of comparative politics. The journal also publishes work on the politics of other states where such work is of interest for comparative politics generally or where it enables comparisons to be made with Commonwealth countries.
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