Land Degradation and Trade Liberalization: An Indian Perspective

S. Pohit
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This paper makes an attempt to use GTAP model to understand the interplay between the agricultural trade liberalization and land degradation in India. Like any other developing country, soil erosion happens to be one of the principal environmental problems caused by agricultural production in India. In this paper, our attempt is to simulate the on-site productivity impacts of erosion, along with standard intersectoral and inter-regional economic effects of trade liberalization. The deeper and fuller agricultural trade liberalization opens up opportunities for India’s agriculture. Our result indicates that paddy, wheat, and other agriculture are the sectors in India where production would expand following liberalisation while there would be a fall in production in cereal grain sector and livestock sector. Overall, there is a small increase in India’s welfare to the tune of US $ 360 millions. While India’s agricultural expands due to opening up of opportunities, soil degradation increases with increased use of land. To what extent, the above result would change if we incorporate land degradation feedback mechanism in our analysis? Our results indicates that agricultural trade liberalisation reduces land productivity, but the effects are weak to negate the benefits of India’s welfare from agricultural trade liberalisation.
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土地退化与贸易自由化:印度视角
本文试图利用GTAP模型来理解印度农业贸易自由化与土地退化之间的相互作用。像任何其他发展中国家一样,土壤侵蚀恰好是印度农业生产造成的主要环境问题之一。在本文中,我们试图模拟侵蚀对现场生产力的影响,以及贸易自由化的标准跨部门和跨区域经济影响。更深层次、更全面的农业贸易自由化为印度农业提供了机遇。我们的结果表明,印度的水稻、小麦和其他农业部门的产量将在自由化后扩大,而谷物部门和畜牧业的产量将下降。总体而言,印度的福利略有增加,约为3.6亿美元。虽然印度的农业由于开放的机会而扩大,但随着土地使用的增加,土壤退化也在加剧。如果我们将土地退化反馈机制纳入我们的分析,上述结果将在多大程度上发生变化?我们的研究结果表明,农业贸易自由化降低了土地生产率,但这种影响不足以抵消农业贸易自由化对印度福利的好处。
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