Evaluation of Insulin and Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Analog Sales in Turkey Before the Pandemic Period; Projection for Upcoming Years: A Market Analysis Study

I. M. Vural, Çağıl ÖNAL SİS, K. Ulusoy, Oguzhan Yildiz
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Abstract

This study was designed to evaluate the box sale trends of insulin preparations and glucagon-like peptide-1 (Glp-1) analogs by their therapeutic categories in Turkey. Also, we aimed to project sale trends of these pharmaceuticals in next years. We analyzed the data before the covid-19 pandemic and made predictions based on these data. This study analyzed retail and hospital box sales of insulin preparations from 4 therapeutic categories (fast/short-acting, intermediate-acting, premix, long-acting) and Glp-1 analogs. Total box sales of the insulin preparations were increased by %13,30 in the period examined. While fast/short-acting and long-acting insulin box sales increased with a decreasing upward trend, intermediate-acting and premix insulin box sales decreased. Glp-1 analog sales increased rapidly in this period. Currently, newer pharmaceuticals have been entering Turkish market for diabetes treatment. Less insulin might be required if newer pharmaceuticals are more widely available in diabetes treatment. Also it will be useful to evaluate the effect of the pandemic on access to pharmaceuticals used in the treatment of chronic diseases in future studies.
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大流行前土耳其胰岛素和胰高血糖素样肽-1类似物销售情况评估未来几年的预测:一项市场分析研究
本研究旨在评估土耳其胰岛素制剂和胰高血糖素样肽-1 (Glp-1)类似物的治疗类别的盒装销售趋势。此外,我们的目标是预测这些药品在未来几年的销售趋势。我们分析了covid-19大流行之前的数据,并根据这些数据进行了预测。本研究分析了4个治疗类别(快速/短效、中效、预混、长效)和Glp-1类似物的胰岛素制剂的零售和医院盒装销售情况。在调查期间,胰岛素制剂的总盒装销售增长了13.30 %。快速/短效和长效胰岛素盒销量呈下降上升趋势,中效和预混胰岛素盒销量下降。在此期间,Glp-1模拟物的销售迅速增长。目前,较新的药物已经进入土耳其糖尿病治疗市场。如果在糖尿病治疗中更广泛地使用新药物,可能需要更少的胰岛素。此外,在今后的研究中,评估大流行对获得用于治疗慢性病的药品的影响也将是有益的。
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