{"title":"The Role of Binance in Bitcoin Volatility Transmission","authors":"C. Alexander, Daniel F. Heck, Andreas Kaeck","doi":"10.1080/1350486X.2022.2125885","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT We analyse high-frequency realized volatility dynamics and spillovers between centralized crypto exchanges that offer spot and derivative contracts for bitcoin against the US dollar or the stable coin tether. The tether-margined perpetual contract on Binance is clearly the main source of volatility, continuously transmitting strong flows to all other instruments and receiving very little volatility from other sources. We also find that crypto exchanges exhibit much higher interconnectedness when traditional Western stock markets are open. Especially during the US time zone, volatility outflows from Binance are much higher than at other times, and Bitcoin traders are more attentive and reactive to prevailing market conditions. Our results highlight that market regulators should pay more attention to the tether-margined derivatives products available on most self-regulated exchanges, most importantly on Binance.","PeriodicalId":35818,"journal":{"name":"Applied Mathematical Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"13","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Mathematical Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1350486X.2022.2125885","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 13
Abstract
ABSTRACT We analyse high-frequency realized volatility dynamics and spillovers between centralized crypto exchanges that offer spot and derivative contracts for bitcoin against the US dollar or the stable coin tether. The tether-margined perpetual contract on Binance is clearly the main source of volatility, continuously transmitting strong flows to all other instruments and receiving very little volatility from other sources. We also find that crypto exchanges exhibit much higher interconnectedness when traditional Western stock markets are open. Especially during the US time zone, volatility outflows from Binance are much higher than at other times, and Bitcoin traders are more attentive and reactive to prevailing market conditions. Our results highlight that market regulators should pay more attention to the tether-margined derivatives products available on most self-regulated exchanges, most importantly on Binance.
期刊介绍：
The journal encourages the confident use of applied mathematics and mathematical modelling in finance. The journal publishes papers on the following: •modelling of financial and economic primitives (interest rates, asset prices etc); •modelling market behaviour; •modelling market imperfections; •pricing of financial derivative securities; •hedging strategies; •numerical methods; •financial engineering.
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