International Inflation Trends

Christopher J. Neely
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

a domestic event, fomented by domestic factors and/or policies, such as money creation. There is some truth to this in extreme cases. For example, essentially all hyper­ inflations—monthly inflation greater than 40 percent— result from uncontrolled domestic fiscal deficits that are financed by domestic money creation and followed by a self­reinforcing cycle of price rises and increases in the velocity of money. At less­pathological rates of inflation, domestic policies, especially those of central banks, are still important. Even central banks of small, open economies can approximately determine average levels of inflation over periods of at least several years.
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国际通货膨胀趋势
由国内因素和/或政策(如货币创造)煽动的国内事件。在极端情况下,这种说法有一定道理。例如,基本上所有的恶性通货膨胀——每月通货膨胀率超过40%——都是由于不受控制的国内财政赤字造成的,这些赤字是由国内货币创造提供资金的,随后是价格上涨和货币流通速度增加的自我强化循环。在不那么病态的通货膨胀率下,国内政策,尤其是央行的政策,仍然很重要。即使是小型开放经济体的央行,也可以大致确定至少几年时间内的平均通胀水平。
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