The Effect of Internal and External Factors on Credit Risk : A Study on Shawbrook Bank Limited in United Kingdom

Hui Qie Pang
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Abstract

Shawbrook Bank Ltd is a commercial bank serving wide range of savings and lending products to their customers especially small and medium enterprises. Therefore, credit risk associated with the loans is high. The purpose of this study is to study the effect of internal factors, external factors and both internal and external factors on the credit risk of Shawbrook. The study is done by investigating the annual reports from 2015 to 2019. This study used multiple linear regression model to analyze the data. The findings show that GDP growth is the most significant variable to the credit risk of the bank. The bank should have prepared well even when the economic is good. Since economic recession is unavoidable, Shawbrook must maintain minimum capital to absorb the loss during economic recession.
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内外因素对信用风险的影响——以英国肖布鲁克银行有限公司为例
肖布鲁克银行有限公司是一家商业银行,为客户提供广泛的储蓄和贷款产品,特别是中小企业。因此,与贷款相关的信用风险很高。本研究的目的是研究内部因素、外部因素以及内外因素对肖布鲁克信用风险的影响。该研究是通过调查2015年至2019年的年度报告完成的。本研究采用多元线性回归模型对数据进行分析。研究结果表明,GDP增长是影响银行信用风险的最显著变量。即使在经济状况良好的时候,银行也应该做好充分的准备。由于经济衰退是不可避免的,Shawbrook必须保持最低限度的资本来吸收经济衰退期间的损失。
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