Assessment and Forecasting of Automobile Air Pollution Load in Ahmedabad based on different methods

Abstract

Vehicular air pollution is highly significant in urban areas causing serious threat to human health.  In the present paper assessment of the air pollution load has been done by using fuel consumption in Ahmedabad. The air pollution load has been estimated in terms of CO, HC, and NOx. The total number of vehicles of different category have been collected from Transport Department, Ahmedabad along with literature survey was carried out in respect of air emission factors for different categories of vehicles in order to assess the overall air pollution load in respect of CO, HC, NOx and other pollutants. The time variable emerging trends have been established in respect of above pollutant parameters from 2001 to 2010 by using mass emission factor and fuel consumption. Forecasting of Pollution load has been carried out by Arithmetic increase, Incremental increase, Geometric increase, and Exponential growth methods and presented to have long term planning and evolution of strategy for the control and management of Vehicular Air Pollution.                           Keywords: Vehicular Air Pollution, Mass Emission Factors, Forecasting