Admission Body Temperature Predicts Long-Term Mortality After Acute Stroke: The Copenhagen Stroke Study

L. Kammersgaard, Jørgensen Hs, J. Rungby, J. Reith, H. Nakayama, U. Weber, J. Houth, T. S. Olsen
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引用次数: 236

Abstract

Background and Purpose— Body temperature is considered crucial in the management of acute stroke patients. Recently hypothermia applied as a therapy for stroke has been demonstrated to be feasible and safe in acute stroke patients. In the present study, we investigated the predictive role of admission body temperature to the long-term mortality in stroke patients. Methods— We studied 390 patients with acute stroke admitted within 6 hours from stroke onset. Admission clinical characteristics (age, sex, admission stroke severity, admission blood glucose, cardiovascular risk factor profile, and stroke subtype) were recorded for patients with hypothermia (body temperature ≤37°C) versus patients with hyperthermia (body temperature >37°C). Univariately the mortality rates for all patients were studied by Kaplan-Meier statistics. To find independent predictors of long-term mortality for all patients, Cox proportional-hazards models were built. We included all clinical characteristics and body temperature as a continuous variable. Results— Patients with hyperthermia had more severe strokes and more frequently diabetes, whereas no difference was found for the other clinical characteristics. For all patients mortality rate at 60 months after stroke was higher for patients with hyperthermia (73 per 100 cases versus 59 per 10 cases, P =0.001). When body temperature was studied in a multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model, a 1°C increase of admission body temperature independently predicted a 30% relative increase (95% CI, 4% to 57%) in long-term mortality risk. For 3-month survivors we found no association between body temperature and long-term survival when studied in a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model (hazards ratio, 1.11 per 1°C; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.52). Conclusion— Low body temperature on admission is considered to be an independent predictor of good short-term outcome. The present study suggests that admission body temperature seems to be a major determinant even for long-term mortality after stroke. Hypothermic therapy in the early stage in which body temperature is kept low for a longer period after ictus could be a long-lasting neuroprotective measure.
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入院体温预测急性中风后的长期死亡率:哥本哈根中风研究
背景和目的——体温在急性脑卒中患者的治疗中被认为是至关重要的。近年来,低温治疗在急性脑卒中患者中的应用已被证明是可行和安全的。在本研究中,我们探讨入院体温对脑卒中患者长期死亡率的预测作用。方法:我们研究了390例中风发作后6小时内入院的急性中风患者。记录低体温患者(体温≤37℃)与高体温患者(体温>37℃)的入院临床特征(年龄、性别、入院卒中严重程度、入院血糖、心血管危险因素概况和卒中亚型)。用Kaplan-Meier统计方法研究所有患者的单变量死亡率。为了寻找所有患者长期死亡率的独立预测因子,建立了Cox比例风险模型。我们将所有临床特征和体温作为一个连续变量。结果:热疗患者有更严重的中风和更频繁的糖尿病,而其他临床特征没有发现差异。在所有患者中,热疗患者中风后60个月的死亡率更高(73 / 100例对59 / 10例,P =0.001)。当在多变量Cox比例风险模型中研究体温时,入院体温升高1°C独立预测长期死亡风险相对增加30% (95% CI, 4%至57%)。在多变量Cox比例风险模型中,对于3个月的幸存者,我们发现体温与长期生存之间没有关联(风险比为1.11 / 1°C;95% CI, 0.82 ~ 1.52)。结论:入院时的低体温被认为是短期预后良好的独立预测指标。目前的研究表明,入院体温似乎是中风后长期死亡率的主要决定因素。在发作后较长时间保持体温较低的早期阶段进行低温治疗可能是一种持久的神经保护措施。
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