Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries

Hans Weisfeld, Irineu de Carvalho Filho, F. Comelli, Rahul Giri, Klaus Hellwig, Chengyu Huang, Fei Liu, Sandra Lizarazo Ruiz, Alexis Mayer Cirkel, A. Presbitero
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In recent years, Fund staff has prepared cross-country analyses of macroeconomic vulnerabilities in low-income countries, focusing on the risk of sharp declines in economic growth and of debt distress. We discuss routes to broadening this focus by adding several macroeconomic and macrofinancial vulnerability concepts. The associated early warning systems draw on advances in predictive modeling.
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预测低收入国家的宏观经济和宏观金融压力
近年来,基金组织工作人员编制了低收入国家宏观经济脆弱性的跨国分析,重点是经济增长急剧下降和债务危机的风险。我们通过增加几个宏观经济和宏观金融脆弱性概念来讨论扩大这一重点的途径。相关的早期预警系统利用了预测建模方面的先进技术。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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