La Chine au risque de la dépendance alimentaire

Jean-Marc Chaumet, T. Pouch
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

China’s opening to the world and economic reforms began in 1978 and resulted in remarkable economic growth. Food transition then occurred for part of Chinese citizens, meaning more meat consumption and less grain consumption. Many factors explained this transition. As China’s economy grew rapidly, peoples’ average income have been rising and cities have been growing at a rapid pace. Foreign investments in retail also have played a major role. But some gaps remain throughout the country: income inequality between rural and urban, between people living on the coast and in-land people, among generations. . . Food transition is not over yet for an important part of the Chinese population.China was able to feed its population until the beginning of the 21st century. But the imports of soybean and milk products have widened its food trade deficit since 2004. The crisis that has been affecting the global economy for the past 4 years might force the Chinese authorities to boost home consumption to be able to maintain the economic growth. This move would mean more imports and might have big consequences on food international trade in the years to come.
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中国面临粮食依赖的风险
中国的对外开放和经济改革始于1978年,带来了显著的经济增长。部分中国人的饮食发生了转变,肉类消费增加,粮食消费减少。许多因素解释了这种转变。随着中国经济的快速发展,人们的平均收入不断提高,城市也在快速发展。外国在零售业的投资也发挥了重要作用。但全国各地仍存在一些差距:城乡之间、沿海地区与内陆地区之间、代际之间的收入不平等……对于中国很大一部分人口来说,食物转型尚未结束。直到21世纪初,中国还能养活自己的人口。但自2004年以来,大豆和奶制品的进口扩大了中国的食品贸易逆差。过去4年影响全球经济的危机可能会迫使中国当局增加国内消费,以保持经济增长。此举将意味着更多的进口,并可能在未来几年对食品国际贸易产生重大影响。
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