Comparison of visual risk assessment methods applied in street trees of Montevideo city, Uruguay

Cecilia Ameneiros, Paulina Fratti, Agustina Sergio, Ana Paula Coelho-Duarte, M. Ponce-Donoso, Óscar Vallejos-Barra
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Risk assessment of urban trees is an incipient practice in Latin America, generally performed with foreign methods, due to the lack of qualified personnel and locally validated or adapted methodology. This article evaluates the application of three methods on street trees in Montevideo city, Uruguay: Tree Hazard Risk Evaluation and Treatment System (THREATS), Quantified Tree Risk Assessment (QTRA) and Best Management Practices - Tree Risk Assessment (ISA BMP). Three assessors with similar experience applied three methods in 36 trees of three widely used genera, totaling 324 assessments and 1,296 data. The methods were decomposed into the components: Likelihood of Failure, Likelihood of Impact, Consequence and Risk Rating. The data were statistically analyzed through a generalized linear mixed model (p<0.05), for the factors: assessor, method, genus, and their interactions. Results showed no significant differences among assessors, but there were differences among methods, specifically for the Likelihood of Impact and Risk Rating components. The ISA BMP method presented higher means in these last two components. Still, this method is suggested for street trees in Montevideo until a more appropriate method is adapted or developed for local conditions. Highlights No significant differences were found among assessors, which encourages standard training for all assessors. The ISA BMP method presented the highest results for the likelihood of impact and risk rating. Target occupation rate influenced differences among genera found for the likelihood of impact component. The ISA BMP method is suggested for street trees risk assessment in Montevideo, until a method is adapted or developed. The absence of descriptors and categorizations, as well as the application time, need to be improved.
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乌拉圭蒙得维的亚市行道树视觉风险评价方法比较
在拉丁美洲,城市树木的风险评估是一种初级做法,由于缺乏合格的人员和经过当地验证或调整的方法,通常采用外国方法进行。本文评价了三种方法在乌拉圭蒙得维的亚市行道树上的应用:树木危害风险评估和处理系统(威胁)、量化树木风险评估(QTRA)和最佳管理实践-树木风险评估(ISA BMP)。3名具有相似经验的评估者对3个广泛使用的属的36棵树采用了3种方法,共计324次评估和1296个数据。这些方法被分解为:失败可能性、影响可能性、后果和风险评级。采用广义线性混合模型(p<0.05)对评估者、方法、属及其相互作用进行统计分析。结果显示,评估者之间没有显著差异,但方法之间存在差异,特别是影响可能性和风险评级成分。ISA BMP方法在后两个分量中表现出较高的均值。尽管如此,这种方法仍被建议用于蒙得维的亚的行道树,直到适应或开发出适合当地条件的更合适的方法。在评估人员之间没有发现显著差异,这鼓励对所有评估人员进行标准培训。ISA BMP方法在影响可能性和风险评级方面的结果最高。目标占领率影响了影响成分可能性的属间差异。建议将ISA BMP方法用于蒙得维的亚的街道树木风险评估,直到采用或开发出一种方法。描述符和分类的缺失以及应用程序时间都需要改进。
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