World on fire: two scenarios of the destruction of human civilization and possible extinction of the human race

IF 3.8 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS Futures Pub Date : 2009-12-01 Epub Date: 2009-07-10 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2009.07.011
Dennis Ray Morgan
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引用次数: 38

Abstract

This paper examines the foundation for two scenarios of the future depicting how human civilization might destroy itself and possibly bring about the extinction of the human race in the process. The scenarios are based upon the two human-generated “fires” deeply ingrained within industrial civilization: (1) the nuclear “fire” of tens of thousands of nuclear weapons and their automated “launch on warning” alert systems and (2) the slow burning “fire” of global warming and runaway climate change. This paper also examines obstacles that are currently preventing the necessary first steps towards solving these problems.

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着火的世界:人类文明毁灭和人类可能灭绝的两种情景
本文探讨了未来两种情景的基础,描绘了人类文明如何自我毁灭,并可能在此过程中导致人类灭绝。这些情景是基于工业文明中根深蒂固的两种人为“火灾”:(1)成千上万枚核武器的核“火灾”及其自动“预警”警报系统;(2)全球变暖和失控的气候变化缓慢燃烧的“火灾”。本文还审查了目前阻碍朝着解决这些问题迈出必要的第一步的障碍。
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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