Anticipating the Future of the World's Ocean

IF 15.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Annual Review of Environment and Resources Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI:10.1146/annurev-environ-120120-053645
C. O’Hara, B. Halpern
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Oceans play critical roles in the lives, economies, cultures, and nutrition of people globally, yet face increasing pressures from human activities that put those benefits at risk. To anticipate the future of the world's ocean, we review the many human activities that impose pressures on marine species and ecosystems, evaluating their impacts on marine life, the degree of scientific uncertainty in those assessments, and the expected trajectory over the next few decades. We highlight that fundamental research should prioritize areas of high potential impact and greater uncertainty about ecosystem vulnerability, such as emerging fisheries, organic chemical pollution, seabed mining, and the interactions of cumulative pressures, and deprioritize research on areas that demonstrate little impact or are well understood, such as plastic pollution and ship strikes to marine fauna. There remains hope for a productive and sustainable future ocean, but the window of opportunity for action is closing. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
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展望世界海洋的未来
海洋在全球人民的生活、经济、文化和营养中发挥着至关重要的作用,但人类活动给海洋带来的压力越来越大,使这些好处面临风险。为了预测世界海洋的未来,我们回顾了许多对海洋物种和生态系统施加压力的人类活动,评估了它们对海洋生物的影响,这些评估的科学不确定性程度,以及未来几十年的预期轨迹。我们强调,基础研究应优先考虑对生态系统脆弱性具有高潜在影响和更大不确定性的领域,如新兴渔业、有机化学污染、海底采矿和累积压力的相互作用,并优先考虑影响较小或已被充分了解的领域,如塑料污染和船舶撞击海洋动物。未来海洋的生产力和可持续性仍有希望,但采取行动的机会之窗正在关闭。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Annual Review of Environment and Resources
Annual Review of Environment and Resources 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
24.10
自引率
1.80%
发文量
33
审稿时长
>24 weeks
期刊介绍: The Annual Review of Environment and Resources, established in 1976, offers authoritative reviews on key environmental science and engineering topics. It covers various subjects, including ecology, conservation science, water and energy resources, atmosphere, oceans, climate change, agriculture, living resources, and the human dimensions of resource use and global change. The journal's recent transition from gated to open access through Annual Reviews' Subscribe to Open program, with all articles published under a CC BY license, enhances the dissemination of knowledge in the field.
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