Meteorological triggers of landslide activity and hazard analysed from tree rings (Central Sudetes, Southern Poland)

M. Wistuba
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Abstract

The aim of this study is to check which type of precipitation control the activity of Garbatka landslide (southern Poland, Central Sudeten Mts) from a decadal perspective. In order to achieve aforesaid goal dendrochronological methods of reconstructing landslide activity have been applied. The study has revealed dendrochronology to be an efficient method for determining triggering factors of landslide activity as the method provides long data sets on past landslide activity which are suitable for statistical analyses and comparisons with precipitation record. In case of the Garbatka landslide the oldest dated landslide activity event is 1942. Dendrochronological record has been compared with precipitation record from the nearest gauging station which is available since 1951. Correlation of data on landslide activity and precipitation data has shown that the landslide under study is sensitive to high short-term precipitation totals (up to 5-days) and to extremely long-term precipitation totals (60-days and 90-days). The main factor driving the activity of the landslide under study is total annual precipitation which is characterized by the highest level of correlation coefficient. However, the nature of the relation between precipitation and landsliding is complex.The aim of this study is to check which type of precipitation control the activity of Garbatka landslide (southern Poland, Central Sudeten Mts) from a decadal perspective. In order to achieve aforesaid goal dendrochronological methods of reconstructing landslide activity have been applied. The study has revealed dendrochronology to be an efficient method for determining triggering factors of landslide activity as the method provides long data sets on past landslide activity which are suitable for statistical analyses and comparisons with precipitation record. In case of the Garbatka landslide the oldest dated landslide activity event is 1942. Dendrochronological record has been compared with precipitation record from the nearest gauging station which is available since 1951. Correlation of data on landslide activity and precipitation data has shown that the landslide under study is sensitive to high short-term precipitation totals (up to 5-days) and to extremely long-term precipitation totals (60-days and...
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从树木年轮分析滑坡活动和危害的气象触发因素(波兰南部苏台德中部)
本研究的目的是从年代际的角度来检查哪种类型的降水控制Garbatka滑坡(波兰南部,苏台德山脉中部)的活动。为了实现上述目标,采用了树年代法重建滑坡活动。研究表明,树木年代学是确定滑坡活动触发因素的有效方法,因为该方法提供了适合于统计分析和与降水记录比较的长期滑坡活动数据集。就加尔巴特卡滑坡而言,最古老的滑坡活动事件是1942年。将树年代学记录与1951年以来最近的气象站降水记录进行了比较。滑坡活动数据与降水数据的相关性表明,所研究的滑坡对高短期降水总量(最多5天)和极长期降水总量(60天和90天)敏感。年总降水量是滑坡活动的主要驱动因子,其相关系数最高。然而,降水与滑坡之间关系的本质是复杂的。本研究的目的是从年代际的角度来检查哪种类型的降水控制Garbatka滑坡(波兰南部,苏台德山脉中部)的活动。为了实现上述目标,采用了树年代法重建滑坡活动。研究表明,树木年代学是确定滑坡活动触发因素的有效方法,因为该方法提供了适合于统计分析和与降水记录比较的长期滑坡活动数据集。就加尔巴特卡滑坡而言,最古老的滑坡活动事件是1942年。将树年代学记录与1951年以来最近的气象站降水记录进行了比较。滑坡活动数据与降水数据的相关性表明,所研究的滑坡对高短期降水总量(最多5天)和极长期降水总量(60天至60天)敏感。
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