Economic and Social Determinants of Democracy: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

S. Ali, Muhammad Imran Khan, Kamran Abbas Naqvi
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Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to understand the dynamics of democracy through empirical analysis of socio-economic determinants of democracy Design/Methodology/Approach: This is an empirical study based on secondary data from 1980- 2018. This research employs the Auto-Regressive and Distributive Lag (ARDL) econometric technique to find short-run and long relationships between democracy and its influencing factors. Findings: This paper’s findings unearth that education expenditures and economic growth are positively associated with democracy and are statistically significant in the long run. Furthermore, government expenditure, trade openness, corruption, and law & order are negatively associated with democracy and statistically significant in the long run.   Implications/Originality/Value This research suggests that it is importantly needed for the democratic government to rise the education expenditure and take an initiative for the better education of the voters, and make them able to understand their manifestos and the effects of their policies on the betterment of society. From top to bottom corruption and uncertain law & order situation in Pakistan would reduce trust in democracy and increases the level of frustration among citizens. The responsibility of improving the law & order situation and the eradication of corruption comes to the current Democratic government through strengthening the institutions and effective implementations.
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民主的经济和社会决定因素:来自巴基斯坦的经验证据
目的:本文的目的是通过实证分析民主的社会经济决定因素来了解民主的动态。设计/方法/方法:这是一项基于1980- 2018年二手数据的实证研究。本研究采用自回归和分配滞后(ARDL)计量经济学方法,寻找民主及其影响因素之间的短期和长期关系。研究发现:教育支出和经济增长与民主呈正相关,且长期具有统计学显著性。此外,政府支出、贸易开放、腐败和法律与秩序与民主呈负相关,从长远来看具有统计学意义。本研究认为,民主政府非常需要增加教育支出,并主动为选民提供更好的教育,使他们能够理解他们的宣言和他们的政策对社会改善的影响。从上到下,巴基斯坦的腐败和不确定的法律和秩序状况会降低对民主的信任,增加公民的挫败感。通过加强制度和有效的执行,改善法治状况和消除腐败的责任落到了现任民主政府身上。
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发文量
53
审稿时长
14 weeks
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