Fundamental Reasons for Exxonmobil's Expulsion from the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Aug 31, 2020: Lessons and Implications for the Global Oil Market and Kazakhstan

Zhaksybek A. Kulekeyev, Yevgeniya Pak
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Abstract

This article provides a reasonable explanation for Exxonmobils unprecedented expulsion from the Dow Jones Industrial Average on August 31, 2020 based on the Kondratieff Wave Concept and Capital Overaccumulation Theory. Authors of this paper suggest that the crisis in the oil market in 2020, triggered by the coronavirus, was expected and could be explained by the economic origins of development, namely, the change of the 5th technological mode to the 6th one. Taking into account the fact that oil is the main energy source of the 5th technological mode, it is obvious that its change will affect the oil market. At the same time, the process of the oil market losing its positions is not spontaneous, since the intensive development of new technologies and a sharp increase in renewable energy investments have led to a decrease in oil consumption.
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埃克森美孚于2020年8月31日被道琼斯工业平均指数除名的根本原因:对全球石油市场和哈萨克斯坦的教训和影响
本文基于康德拉季耶夫波浪概念和资本过度积累理论,对埃克森美孚在2020年8月31日被道琼斯工业平均指数史无前例地除名提供了合理的解释。本文的作者认为,2020年由冠状病毒引发的石油市场危机是意料之中的,可以用发展的经济根源来解释,即第五种技术模式向第六种技术模式的转变。考虑到石油是第五种技术模式的主要能源来源,其变化对石油市场的影响是显而易见的。与此同时,石油市场失去其地位的过程并非自发的,因为新技术的密集开发和可再生能源投资的急剧增加导致了石油消费的减少。
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