Application of Logistic Regression on Passenger Survival Data of the Titanic Liner

Sajjida Reza, Bilal Sarwar, Raja Rub Nawaz, S. M. N. Ul Haq
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Abstract

Purpose: This empirical research aims to predict the distinguishing variables of passengers who did or did not survive while traveling in the famous Titanic liner, which sunk in 1912. Design/Methodology/Approach: The binary logistic regression analysis empirically analyzes the secondary dataset available for 1046 passengers. Variables such as passenger’s gender, age, family composition, ticket class, number of parents with/without children, and number of siblings and/or spouses were opted to examine the differences between the binary dependent variable (Passenger Survived/ Not Survived). Findings: The study results indicate that all the variables are statistically significant in the model, with passenger's gender being the most significant predictor followed by passenger’s ticket class. The survival chances of passengers decreased for male passengers compared to their counterparts (female passengers) for the sample data [Exp(β)=0.080], for the passengers of age more than 21 years compared to passengers of age less than and equal to 21 years [Exp(β)=0.576], and for passengers with ticket class second and third compared to first-class ticket holders [Exp(β)=0.412]. In contrast, there was a greater chance of survival for families traveling together with parents, siblings, spouses compared to single travelers [Exp(β)=1.823]. Implications/Originality/Value: The study is a classic example of the application of binary logistic regression analysis using EVIEWS software.
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Logistic回归在泰坦尼克号客轮乘客生存数据分析中的应用
目的:本实证研究旨在预测1912年沉没的著名泰坦尼克号客轮中幸存或死亡的乘客的区分变量。设计/方法/方法:二元逻辑回归分析对1046名乘客可用的二级数据集进行实证分析。选择乘客的性别、年龄、家庭组成、机票等级、有/没有孩子的父母人数、兄弟姐妹和/或配偶人数等变量来检验二元因变量(乘客幸存/未幸存)之间的差异。结果:研究结果表明,模型中各变量均具有统计学显著性,其中乘客性别是最显著的预测因子,其次是乘客的机票类别。对于样本数据[Exp(β)=0.080],男性乘客的生存机会低于女性乘客,年龄大于21岁的乘客的生存机会低于年龄小于等于21岁的乘客的生存机会[Exp(β)=0.576],二等舱和三等舱乘客的生存机会低于头等舱乘客的生存机会[Exp(β)=0.412]。相比之下,与父母、兄弟姐妹、配偶一起旅行的家庭比单独旅行的家庭生存的机会更大[Exp(β)=1.823]。启示/原创性/价值:本研究是利用EVIEWS软件应用二元逻辑回归分析的经典案例。
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12 weeks
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