The Present and Future of the Employment Paradigm in the Context of Global Changes

A. Popov, T. Soloveva
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Abstract

Major transformations have taken place throughout history, radically changing people's way of life. This can be noted in particular in the area of employment. In just the last few centuries, it has gone from predominantly agrarian employment, manual work and natural specialization to the technology-based image of the service-sector worker. The purpose of the article is to comprehend and conceptualize the process of forming a new employment paradigm through the prism of global challenges. The hypothesis is that in the modern world, employment is becoming increasingly blurred, combining features of different eras, which results in an intensification of social stratification and labor market segmentation. The research is based on the methodological principles of compiling a systematic review and consists of the following steps: goal setting and study design, selection of relevant literature according to the defined criteria, generalization and analytical review of selected sources, presentation of results. The analysis highlights the key trends in the field of employment at the current stage of social development. Among them are concentration of the labor force in the tertiary sector, destandardization and increased flexibility of employment, changes in the economy's requirements for human capital, etc. Special attention is paid to the influence of global challenges on the future of work under single-factor and complex scenarios of its development. The authors provide an analytical review of international experience in overcoming the negative consequences of employment transformation. The paper concludes by offering conceptual understanding of the emerging paradigm of employment and highlighting its cognitive features. The results obtained contribute to the development of the discussion on the future of work, related opportunities and threats. The practical significance of the study lies in identifying promising directions of state policy to regulate employment in the face of modern challenges.
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全球变化背景下就业范式的现在与未来
历史上发生了重大变革,从根本上改变了人们的生活方式。这一点在就业领域尤为明显。就在过去的几个世纪里,它已经从主要的农业就业、体力劳动和自然专业化转变为以技术为基础的服务业工人形象。本文的目的是通过全球挑战的棱镜来理解和概念化形成新的就业范式的过程。其假设是,在现代世界,就业越来越模糊,结合了不同时代的特征,导致社会分层加剧,劳动力市场分割。本研究基于编制系统综述的方法学原则,包括以下步骤:目标设定和研究设计,根据确定的标准选择相关文献,对选定的来源进行概括和分析审查,提出结果。该分析突出了当前社会发展阶段就业领域的主要趋势。其中包括劳动力向第三产业集中、就业去标准化和灵活性增加、经济对人力资本要求的变化等。特别关注在单一因素和复杂发展情景下,全球挑战对未来工作的影响。作者对克服就业转变的消极后果的国际经验进行了分析性审查。最后,本文对新兴的就业范式进行了概念性的理解,并强调了其认知特征。所获得的结果有助于对未来工作、相关机会和威胁的讨论的发展。本研究的现实意义在于,在面对现代挑战时,确定国家政策调控就业的有希望的方向。
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