Determinants of Credit Growth: An Empirical Study of Commercial Banks in Indonesia

Ahmad Rado Rizkullah, Suhel, S. Andaiyani
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Abstract

he banking sector is one of the pillars that forms the country's economy that has an important function: it channels funds in the form of credit to the public. This study aims to analyze determinants affecting credit growth in commercial banks by using a purposive sampling technique to select seven commercial banks in Indonesia with a minimum capital of 30 trillion in the 2017-2021 period. This study hypothesizes that bank size has a positive and significant effect on credit growth while non-performing loans, liquidity, third party funds and capital adequacy ratios have a negative and significant effect on credit growth. Using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), this research finds that bank size and third-party funds have a positive and significant influence on credit growth; non-performing loans have a negative and significant effect on credit growth, loan deposit ratio has a positive and insignificant effect on credit growth, and capital adequacy ratio has a negative and insignificant effect on credit growth. This study found that Third Party Funds have a positive and significant influence on Credit Growth in Commercial Banks in Indonesia. The positive but significant causality between third party funds and credit growth indicates that the hypothesis that was put forward by the researchers is confirmed in a different direction. This study indicates that maintaining banking stability is important, especially to increase the credibility and existence of the bank in society. The theoretical and practical significance is that it provides knowledge of the determinants of credit to commercial banks in Indonesia so that it can be used as a comparison or reference.
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信贷增长的决定因素:印尼商业银行的实证研究
银行业是构成国家经济的支柱之一,具有重要功能:它以信贷的形式向公众输送资金。本研究旨在分析影响商业银行信贷增长的决定因素,采用有目的的抽样技术,在2017-2021年期间选择印尼七家最低资本为30万亿的商业银行。本研究假设银行规模对信贷增长具有显著的正向影响,而不良贷款、流动性、第三方资金和资本充足率对信贷增长具有显著的负向影响。利用广义矩量法(GMM)研究发现,银行规模和第三方资金对信贷增长具有显著的正向影响;不良贷款对信贷增长的影响为负且显著,存贷比对信贷增长的影响为正且不显著,资本充足率对信贷增长的影响为负且不显著。本研究发现,第三方基金对印尼商业银行信贷增长具有显著的正向影响。第三方资金与信贷增长之间正但显著的因果关系表明,研究者提出的假设在另一个方向上得到了证实。本研究表明,维持银行的稳定是重要的,特别是提高银行在社会中的信誉和存在。理论和实践意义在于,它为印度尼西亚的商业银行提供了信贷决定因素的知识,从而可以作为比较或参考。
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