U.S. Monetary Policy and its Role in the Global Financial Crisis: An Assessment after Ten Years

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI:10.1142/s2737566821900015
A. Hossain
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Abstract

This paper reviews three interrelated propositions advanced in the literature to explain the U.S. financial crisis of 2007 to 2009, and draws cogent implications for the roles of monetary and fiscal policies in improving macroeconomic management across countries to sustain global financial stability. The three propositions advanced to explain the U.S. financial crisis are: (1) the monetary-excess hypothesis (2) lax regulation and supervision of banks and financial institutions, and (3) large-scale foreign capital inflows. Of these interrelated explanations, the first appears to be the primary cause of the boom-bust cycle in the U.S. residential housing industry. It led to the financial crisis in an environment of lax regulation and supervision of banks and financial institutions, which intermediated large-scale inflows of foreign capital to finance large, sustained budget deficits. The U.S. financial crisis engulfed the global economy from 2007 to 2009. Its consequences continue to be felt internationally, especially in the context of the debate on the role of monetary policy in reviving an economy in recession in a low-inflationary environment. The body of literature that has emerged since the peak of the financial crisis suggests that the monetary and fiscal stimuli, aimed at rescuing the U.S. and other major economies from the recession, had limited effect. The key lesson that can be drawn from the U.S. financial crisis in a global setup is that rules-based monetary and fiscal policies can be more effective at not creating a boom-bust level of volatility in one or more economies. In addition, this paper concurs with the view that rules-based monetary and fiscal policies should be associated with improved financial regulation and supervision, in order to maintain global financial stability under the current regime of deregulated global capital markets.
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美国货币政策及其在全球金融危机中的作用:十年后的评估
本文回顾了文献中提出的三个相互关联的命题,以解释2007年至2009年的美国金融危机,并对货币和财政政策在改善各国宏观经济管理以维持全球金融稳定方面的作用提出了令人信服的影响。为解释美国金融危机而提出的三个命题是:(1)货币过剩假说;(2)对银行和金融机构监管松懈;(3)大规模外资流入。在这些相互关联的解释中,第一个似乎是美国住宅行业繁荣-萧条周期的主要原因。它在对银行和金融机构监管松懈的环境中导致了金融危机,这种环境为大规模外国资本流入提供了中介,为巨额、持续的预算赤字提供了资金。2007年至2009年,美国金融危机席卷了全球经济。其后果继续在国际上受到影响,特别是在关于货币政策在低通货膨胀环境下恢复衰退中的经济方面的作用的辩论中。自金融危机达到顶峰以来出现的大量文献表明,旨在将美国和其他主要经济体从衰退中拯救出来的货币和财政刺激措施效果有限。从美国金融危机中可以得出的关键教训是,基于规则的货币和财政政策可以更有效地避免在一个或多个经济体中造成繁荣-萧条水平的波动。此外,本文同意以下观点,即基于规则的货币和财政政策应与改善金融监管和监督相结合,以便在目前放松管制的全球资本市场制度下维持全球金融稳定。
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来源期刊
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
0.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis (JBVELA) is a refereed academic journal that publishes continuously throughout the year and is co-edited by Bradley Ewing and James Hoffman. The mission of the Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis is to improve the practice of business valuation, economic loss analysis, and risk management by helping to inform academics, practitioners, and attorneys about theoretical and practical developments in these fields.
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