Jumping the gun: how dictators got ahead of their subjects

J. Hariri, Asger Mose Wingender
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Economic modernisation is widely seen as a path to democracy, but the technological progress that drives modernisation also provides rulers with new means of repression. We collect data on the international diffusion of 29 repressive military technologies and demonstrate that such technologies spread faster from Western Europe and the United States than economic development. Moreover, in a panel of all independent countries 1820-2010, we show that the rapid diffusion of repressive technologies has impeded democratisation around the world by allowing autocratic rulers to suppress popular resistance against their regimes.
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操之过急:独裁者如何领先于其臣民
经济现代化被广泛视为通往民主的道路,但推动现代化的技术进步也为统治者提供了新的镇压手段。我们收集了29种压制性军事技术在国际上扩散的数据,并证明这些技术从西欧和美国传播的速度快于经济发展。此外,在1820年至2010年的所有独立国家的小组中,我们表明,压制性技术的快速传播通过允许专制统治者镇压民众对其政权的抵抗,阻碍了世界各地的民主化。
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