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Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants 实际汇率与移民收入
Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead066
C. Dustmann, Hyejin Ku, Tanya Surovtseva
We relate origin-destination real price differences to immigrants’ reservation wages and their career trajectories, exploiting administrative data from Germany and the 2004 enlargement of the European Union. We find that immigrants who enter Germany when a unit of earnings from Germany allows for larger consumption at home settle for lower entry wages, but subsequently catch up to those arriving with less favourable exchange rates, through transition to better-paying occupations and firms. Similar patterns hold in the US data. Our analysis offers one explanation for the widespread phenomenon of immigrants’ downgrading, with new implications for immigrant cohort effects and assimilation profiles.
我们利用德国和2004年欧盟扩大的行政数据,将原籍国和目的地的实际价格差异与移民的预留工资及其职业轨迹联系起来。我们发现,当从德国获得的单位收入允许国内消费增加时,进入德国的移民会接受较低的入境工资,但随后会通过过渡到收入更高的职业和公司,赶上那些汇率不那么优惠的移民。美国的数据也存在类似的模式。我们的分析为移民降级的普遍现象提供了一种解释,并对移民群体效应和同化概况产生了新的影响。
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引用次数: 5
Persuadable or Dissuadable Altruists? The Impact of Information of Recipient Characteristics on Giving 值得说服还是不值得劝阻的利他主义者?接受者特征信息对赠与的影响
Pub Date : 2023-08-12 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead062
Lata Gangadharan, P. Grossman, Lingbo Huang, C. Leister, Erte Xiao, Luigi Butera, Catherine C. Eckel, C. Exley, Ben Grodeck, Stephanie A. Heger, Jonathan Levy, Erzo F. P. Luttmer, Nina Xue, Xiaojian Zhao, 𝑔 Proposition1., 𝑔 ≥𝑔∅∗≥, 𝑔 with𝑙𝑖𝑚→𝑔𝑙𝑖𝑚→, 𝑔
We investigate how information about recipients’ characteristics affects donors’ giving as opposed to when no information is available. In a rational model in which information causes a donor to update her assessment of the recipient's deservingness, we introduce the idea that altruism can be “persuadable” (“dissuadable”) by information about positive (negative) characteristics. We report data from three experiments in which donors are provided information regarding three recipient characteristics: alcoholism, attending courses, and disability. Across different characteristics, our results are broadly consistent with the predictions of persuadable altruism. Overall, we find a positive net impact of providing information on aggregate giving.
我们调查了接受者特征的信息如何影响捐赠者的捐赠,而不是在没有信息的情况下。在一个理性的模型中,信息使捐赠者更新她对接受者的价值评估,我们引入了利他主义可以通过关于积极(消极)特征的信息被“说服”(“劝阻”)的想法。我们报告了来自三个实验的数据,在这些实验中,捐赠者被提供了关于三个接受者特征的信息:酗酒、参加课程和残疾。在不同的特征中,我们的结果与可说服利他主义的预测大体一致。总的来说,我们发现提供信息对总体捐赠有积极的净影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Promises and Pitfalls of Using (Mostly) Low-Touch Coaching Interventions to Improve College Student Outcomes 使用(大部分)低接触指导干预来提高大学生成绩的承诺和陷阱
Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead064
Philip Oreopoulos, Uros Petronijevic
We present results from a five-year effort to design promising virtual coaching interventions to improve college student achievement. Across nearly 20,000 students at three campuses, we find some improvement on study time but no effect on academic outcomes. We interpret the results with unique survey data and a model of student effort. Treated students learn more effort is needed to attain good grades and develop stronger preferences for high grades, but these effects are too small to translate into academic benefits. More comprehensive, social, and better-timed interventions are needed for helping students outside the classroom.
我们展示了一项为期五年的研究成果,旨在设计有前景的虚拟教练干预措施,以提高大学生的成绩。在三个校区的近2万名学生中,我们发现学习时间有所改善,但对学业成绩没有影响。我们用独特的调查数据和学生努力的模型来解释结果。接受治疗的学生知道,要想取得好成绩,需要付出更多的努力,并培养对高分的强烈偏好,但这些影响太小,不足以转化为学业上的好处。需要更全面、更社会化、更及时的干预措施来帮助学生走出课堂。
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引用次数: 1
Correction to: Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from US States 更正:情绪和经济活动:来自美国各州的证据
Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead050
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引用次数: 0
Labour Mobility and Earnings in the UK, 1992-2017 1992-2017年英国劳动力流动与收入
Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead052
F. Postel-Vinay, A. Sepahsalari
We combine information from the British Household Panel Study (BHPS) and the UK Longitudinal Household Study (UKHLS, a.k.a. Understanding Society) to construct consistent time series of aggregate worker stocks, worker flows and earnings in the UK over the 1992-2017. We propose a method to harmonise data between the BHPS and UKHLS, which we validate by checking the consistency of some of our headline time series with equivalent series produced from other sources, notably by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). In addition to drawing a detailed aggregate picture of the UK labour market over the past two and a half decades, we use our constructed dataset to compare the impact of industry, occupation and employer tenure on wages in the UK. We find that returns to occupation tenure are substantial. All else equal, 5 years of occupation tenure are associated with a 3.3% increase in wages. We also find that industry tenure plays a non-negligible part in driving wage growth.
我们结合了英国家庭面板研究(BHPS)和英国纵向家庭研究(UKHLS,又名理解社会)的信息,构建了1992年至2017年英国总工人存量、工人流动和收入的一致时间序列。我们提出了一种方法来协调BHPS和UKHLS之间的数据,我们通过检查我们的一些标题时间序列与其他来源的等效序列的一致性来验证,特别是由国家统计局(ONS)。除了绘制过去25年英国劳动力市场的详细汇总图外,我们还使用我们构建的数据集来比较行业、职业和雇主任期对英国工资的影响。我们发现,职业使用权的回报是可观的。在其他条件相同的情况下,5年的职业任期与3.3%的工资增长有关。我们还发现,行业任期在推动工资增长方面起着不可忽视的作用。
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引用次数: 3
The Forward-Looking Effect of Increasing the Full Retirement Age 提高法定退休年龄的前瞻性效应
Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead051
F. Carta, Marta de Philippis
This paper analyses the effects of increasing the statutory retirement age for claiming full pension benefits on the labour force participation of middle-aged individuals and their partners. Identification relies on a difference-in-differences setting that exploits the heterogeneous increase in age eligibility for retirement caused by an unexpected pension reform. We detect a rise in the participation rate of middle-aged women that spills over into the labour supply of their husbands, who choose to postpone their retirement. The overall labour supply response has important implications for the extent of the fiscal externality associated with pension reforms that increase the retirement age.
本文分析了提高领取全额养老金的法定退休年龄对中年人及其伴侣劳动力参与的影响。识别依赖于差异中的差异设置,该设置利用了意外养老金改革引起的退休年龄资格的异质增加。我们发现中年妇女参与率的上升,溢出到她们丈夫的劳动力供给中,而她们的丈夫选择推迟退休。总体劳动力供给反应对提高退休年龄的养老金改革相关的财政外部性的程度具有重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Catholic Censorship and the Demise of Knowledge Production in Early Modern Italy 近代早期意大利天主教审查制度与知识生产的消亡
Pub Date : 2023-07-24 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead053
Fabio Blasutto, David de la Croix
Censorship makes new ideas less available to others, but also reduces the number of people choosing to develop non-compliant ideas. We propose a new method to measure the effect of censorship on knowledge growth, accounting for the agents’ choice between compliant and non-compliant occupations. We apply our method to the Catholic Church’s censorship of books written by members of Italian universities and academies over the period 1400-1750. We highlight new facts: once censorship was introduced, censored authors were of better quality than the non-censored authors, but this gap shrank over time, and the intensity of censorship decreased over time. We use these facts to identify the deep parameters of a novel endogenous growth model that links censorship to knowledge diffusion and occupational choice. We conclude that the average log publication per scholar in Italy would have been 43% higher if censorship had not been present, while the effect of adverse macroeconomic processes is almost four times smaller. The induced reallocation of talents towards compliant activities explains half the effect of censorship.
审查制度减少了新想法对他人的可用性,但也减少了选择发展不兼容想法的人数。我们提出了一种新的方法来衡量审查对知识增长的影响,该方法考虑了代理人在服从和不服从职业之间的选择。我们将我们的方法应用于天主教会对1400-1750年间意大利大学和学院成员所著书籍的审查。我们强调了新的事实:一旦实行审查制度,经过审查的作者比未经审查的作者质量更好,但这种差距随着时间的推移而缩小,审查的强度也随着时间的推移而降低。我们利用这些事实来确定一个新的内生增长模型的深层参数,该模型将审查制度与知识扩散和职业选择联系起来。我们得出的结论是,如果没有审查制度,意大利每位学者的平均日志发表量将高出43%,而不利的宏观经济过程的影响几乎小了四倍。诱导人才向合规活动的重新分配解释了审查的一半影响。
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引用次数: 7
Housing prices and credit constraints in competitive search 竞争性搜索中的房价和信贷约束
Pub Date : 2023-07-24 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead054
J. P. Rincón-Zapatero, B. Jerez, A. Díaz
Wealthier, risk-averse buyers pay more to speed up transactions in competitive search markets. This result is established in a dynamic housing model where households save to smooth consumption and build a down payment. “Block recursivity” is ensured by the existence of risk-neutral housing intermediaries. In the long run, the calibrated benchmark features higher indebtedness and house prices than a Walrasian model, especially when housing supply elasticity is low. The long-run price effects of greater credit availability are much larger if rental and owner-occupied stocks are segmented, but even without segmentation they can be substantial when supply elasticity is low.
在竞争激烈的搜索市场上,更富有、厌恶风险的买家会花更多钱来加快交易速度。这一结果建立在一个动态住房模型中,家庭通过储蓄来平稳消费并建立首付。风险中性住房中介机构的存在确保了“块递归性”。从长期来看,与瓦尔拉斯模型相比,校准基准的负债和房价更高,尤其是在住房供应弹性较低的情况下。如果租赁库存和自有库存是分割的,那么更大的信贷可获得性的长期价格效应要大得多,但即使没有分割,当供应弹性较低时,它们也可能是巨大的。
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引用次数: 1
Protection Without Discrimination 无差别保护
Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead046
Vincent Rebeyrol
This paper shows that Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs) may fully respect the non-discrimination principle of the WTO and still act as a protectionist device. NTMs that raise costs of all firms induce some exit, reallocating market shares towards the most efficient firms. The paper analyses when this mechanism generates protectionism. With political economy motives, trade liberalization increases the use of NTMs in the non-cooperative equilibrium and a trade agreement may be welfare reducing if governments care about the most efficient firms only. Moreover, a Pareto improving agreement may require an income redistribution between countries if firm average productivity differs across countries.
非关税措施可以充分尊重世贸组织的非歧视原则,但仍然具有保护主义的作用。提高所有企业成本的新关税机制会诱导一些企业退出,从而将市场份额重新分配给效率最高的企业。本文分析了这一机制何时会产生保护主义。出于政治经济动机,贸易自由化增加了非合作均衡中非关税机制的使用,如果政府只关心效率最高的企业,贸易协定可能会减少福利。此外,如果企业平均生产率在各国之间存在差异,帕累托改进协议可能需要在各国之间进行收入再分配。
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引用次数: 0
A Behavioural Theory of Discrimination in Policing 警务歧视的行为理论
Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1093/ej/uead043
Ryan Hübert, A. Little
A large economic literature studies whether racial disparities in policing are explained by animus or by beliefs about group crime rates. But what if these beliefs are incorrect? We analyse a model where officers form beliefs using crime statistics, but don’t properly account for the fact that they will detect more crime in more heavily policed communities. This creates a feedback loop where officers over-police groups that they (incorrectly) believe exhibit high crime rates. This inferential mistake can exacerbate discrimination even among officers with no animus and who sincerely believe disparities are driven by real differences in crime rates.
大量的经济学文献研究了警察中的种族差异是由敌意还是对群体犯罪率的看法来解释的。但如果这些信念是不正确的呢?我们分析了一个模型,在这个模型中,警察使用犯罪统计数据形成信念,但没有适当地考虑到他们会在更严格的警察社区发现更多的犯罪。这就形成了一个反馈循环,警察们(错误地)认为警察群体的犯罪率很高。这种推断上的错误会加剧歧视,即使在那些没有敌意、真心认为差异是由犯罪率的实际差异造成的警官之间也是如此。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
The Economic journal of Nepal
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