Determinants Influencing Non-Performing Loan Ratio of Joint Stock Commercial Banks in Vietnam

Ha Phung Viet, V. Do, Nghi Huu Phan, P. Lan, Diep Vu Ngoc
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Abstract

This study investigates macro and micro determinants of the ratio of non-performing loans (MPG ratio) of Vietnam commercial banks between 2015 and 2021. Data were collected from fifteen banks with total assets accounting for 62.9% of the total banking industry assets. The regression analytical technique is used to determine the impact of some independent variables on the MPG ratio of sample banks. The results reveal that the non -performing loan ratio is negatively correlated with the bank's asset size and loan growth rate but positively correlated with the net interest margin and the credit risk. The variable of Covid-19 has no statistically significant correlation with the non-performing loans ratio. Although a range of previous studies on that topic has been carried out, none of them digs deeper into the impact of these explanatory variables on the ratio of non-performing loans of Vietnamese commercial banks, especially the impact of Covid-19, whereas the banking industry of Vietnam is far-affected by that epidemic. Therefore, these findings can be used by creditors, investors, bank managers, and policy-makers when they have to give decisions relating to commercial banks in this complex period.
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影响越南股份制商业银行不良贷款率的因素
本研究探讨了2015年至2021年间越南商业银行不良贷款率(MPG比率)的宏观和微观决定因素。数据来自15家银行,总资产占银行业总资产的62.9%。利用回归分析技术确定了一些自变量对样本库MPG比率的影响。结果表明,不良贷款率与银行资产规模和贷款增长率呈负相关,与净息差和信用风险呈正相关。Covid-19变量与不良贷款率的相关性无统计学意义。尽管之前已经开展了一系列关于该主题的研究,但没有一项研究深入研究这些解释变量对越南商业银行不良贷款率的影响,特别是新冠肺炎疫情的影响,而越南银行业受到疫情的严重影响。因此,当债权人、投资者、银行管理人员和政策制定者在这个复杂时期不得不做出与商业银行有关的决策时,这些发现可以被使用。
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