Public Debt Management Experience: The Case of EECCA Countries

M. Dubovik, S. Mammadova, Anar Huseynov, Petar Pajkovic, Lesya Bozhko
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Abstract

The aim of this study is to cluster the most widely used public debt management tools peculiar to the EECCA (Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Central Asia) markets. Overall, the results show that the volume of EECCA countries’ public debt relative to GDP declined from 2000 to 2015. However, as their public debt enhanced after 2016 and until 2020, inclusive, the need to choose proper tools for its management intensified. The main cause of public debt in most EECCA countries is the state budget deficit (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan). The second place was taken by the balance of payments deficit (Armenia, Belarus). The only unique country was Azerbaijan, since it is likely to use public debt to finance economic and infrastructure development projects. No less interesting is that not all EECCA member states generate internal public debt. Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, and Uzbekistan have external public debt exclusively due to the lack of free resources that can be attracted from within the economy. In general, the investigation revealed that the main tool for managing internal public debt in EECCA countries is public bonds issued in national and foreign currencies. As for external public debt management, the top position is taken by external public bonds and international loans. The study has only two limitations: methodological and implementation. Other macroeconomic indicators of economic development were not considered, even though they may change the assessment of the effectiveness of the selected tools of public debt management. Meanwhile, the results can only be applied to those countries whose financial market is already formed and who have access to international financial markets. Otherwise, the tools of public debt management are limited.
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公共债务管理经验:以欧洲经共体国家为例
本研究的目的是集中EECCA(东欧、高加索和中亚)市场特有的最广泛使用的公共债务管理工具。总体而言,研究结果表明,从2000年到2015年,EECCA国家的公共债务相对于GDP的规模有所下降。然而,随着2016年之后至2020年(包括2020年在内)这些国家的公共债务增加,选择适当的管理工具的必要性也随之增强。大多数非洲经共体国家公共债务的主要原因是国家预算赤字(哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、摩尔多瓦、俄罗斯、塔吉克斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦)。第二名是国际收支逆差(亚美尼亚、白俄罗斯)。唯一独特的国家是阿塞拜疆,因为它可能会利用公共债务为经济和基础设施发展项目提供资金。同样有趣的是,并非所有欧共体成员国都产生内部公共债务。吉尔吉斯斯坦、摩尔多瓦和乌兹别克斯坦的外债完全是由于缺乏可以从经济内部吸引的免费资源。总的来说,调查显示,非洲经共体国家管理内部公共债务的主要工具是以本国货币和外币发行的公共债券。对外公债管理以对外公债和国际贷款为主。这项研究只有两个局限性:方法和实施。没有考虑经济发展的其他宏观经济指标,尽管它们可能改变对选定的公共债务管理工具的有效性的评估。同时,这些结果只能适用于那些已经形成金融市场并能够进入国际金融市场的国家。否则,公共债务管理的工具是有限的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
审稿时长
16 weeks
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