Stability analysis of pneumonia mathematic model with prevention using vaccines and treatment

Ardy Hendro Manuputty, Y. A. Lesnussa, Z. A. Leleury
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Pneumonia is an infectious disease caused by living microorganisms such as bacteria, viruses, and fungi. Pneumonia transmission is the leading cause of death in children worldwide. Mathematics provides an important role in seeing the development of pneumonia, and by using mathematical modeling, pneumonia is modeled with five subpopulations, susceptible without vaccine (Su), susceptible with vaccines (Sv), carriers(C), infection (I), and treatment (T). From the results of the analysis of the mathematical model, were obtained two equilibrium points, the endemic equilibrium point and the disease-free equilibrium point, and obtained the type of stability from the mathematical model is asymptotically stable. From the characteristics of the mathematical model it can be seen that, in the initial 20 months, the population is free from disease. Where the number of individuals in the subpopulation of carriers, infection, and treatment has reached zero, along with the increasing use of vaccines to prevent the spread of pneumonia.
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考虑疫苗预防和治疗的肺炎数学模型稳定性分析
肺炎是一种由细菌、病毒和真菌等活微生物引起的传染病。肺炎传播是全世界儿童死亡的主要原因。数学在观察肺炎的发展过程中起着重要的作用,通过数学建模,将肺炎建模为5个亚群,即无疫苗易感人群(Su)、有疫苗易感人群(Sv)、携带者(C)、感染人群(I)和治疗人群(T)。从数学模型的分析结果中,得到了两个平衡点,即流行平衡点和无病平衡点。并由数学模型得到了稳定性的类型是渐近稳定的。从数学模型的特征可以看出,在最初的20个月里,人口没有疾病。携带者、感染和治疗亚群中的个体数量已达到零,同时越来越多地使用疫苗来预防肺炎的传播。
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