Determinants of Herding Behavior in The Time Of COVID-19: The Case of Egyptian Stock Market Sectors

Samira Allam, Mansour Abdelrhim, Mahmoud Mohamed
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

This paper attempts to research in two parts, the first part aims to study the Herding Behavior in the sectors of the Egyptian Stock Exchange, when the second part aims to study the factors that affect the Herding Behavior according to the identification of those factors. Factors based on the presentation of previous literature related to herd behavior, and these factors are represented in the exchange rate, Stock trading volumes as an indicator of Liquidity, stock market returns, and indicators of the spread of the Corona virus represented in the number of cumulative cases and deaths according to the population in Egypt. During the period from 1/3/2020 to 31/7/2020. Sectors are five sectors of 76 companies, that have dispersion decrease (CSSD), and the sectors are (Basic Resources, Banks, Travel & Leisure, Health Care & Pharmaceuticals, Food, Beverages and Tobacco). The results of the multiple regression models for the sectors in which herd behavior appeared were as follows: - Basic resources determination coefficient (R2) (52.24%), and the variables determining herd behavior in the sector are variables (Corona virus Cumulative Cases, Cumulative Corona virus deaths).- Banks determination coefficient (R2) (66.85%), and the variables determining herd behavior in the sector are variables (Stock Market Return, Sector Trading Volumes, Corona virus Cumulative Cases, Cumulative Corona virus deaths).- Travel & Leisure determination coefficient (R2) (49.04%), and the variables determining herd behavior in the sector are variables (Stock Market Return, Exchange Rate, Sector Trading Volumes, Corona virus Cumulative Cases, Cumulative Corona virus deaths).- Health & Care Pharmaceuticals determination coefficient (R2) (41.84%), and the variables determining herd behavior in the sector are variables (Exchange Rate, Corona virus Cumulative Cases, Cumulative Corona virus deaths).- Food, Beverages and Tobacco determination coefficient (R2) (58.87%), and the variables determining herd behavior in the sector are variables (Stock Market Return, Sector Trading Volumes, Corona virus Cumulative Cases, Cumulative Corona virus deaths).
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COVID-19时期羊群行为的决定因素:以埃及股市部门为例
本文试图分两部分进行研究,第一部分旨在研究埃及证券交易所板块的羊群行为,第二部分旨在通过对这些因素的识别来研究影响羊群行为的因素。根据先前文献介绍的与羊群行为相关的因素,这些因素以汇率、作为流动性指标的股票交易量、股票市场回报以及以埃及人口累计病例数和死亡人数为代表的冠状病毒传播指标来表示。2020年3月1日至2020年7月31日。行业是分散度下降(CSSD)的76家企业中的5个行业,分别是基础资源、银行、旅游休闲、保健制药、食品饮料、烟草。—基本资源决定系数(R2)为52.24%,决定部门群体行为的变量为冠状病毒累计病例、冠状病毒累计死亡等变量。-银行决定系数(R2)(66.85%),决定行业从众行为的变量是变量(股票市场回报、行业交易量、冠状病毒累计病例、冠状病毒累计死亡)。-旅游和休闲决定系数(R2)(49.04%),决定该行业从众行为的变量是变量(股票市场回报、汇率、行业交易量、冠状病毒累计病例、冠状病毒累计死亡)。-卫生与保健药品决定系数(R2)(41.84%),决定该行业群体行为的变量是变量(汇率、冠状病毒累积病例、冠状病毒累积死亡)。-食品、饮料和烟草的决定系数(R2)(58.87%),决定该行业羊群行为的变量是变量(股票市场回报、行业交易量、冠状病毒累计病例、冠状病毒累计死亡)。
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