Intraregional inequalities in Serbia - testing the club convergence

Dejan S. Molnar, Maja Jandrić
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Abstract

Not only are all the regions in Serbia underdeveloped in comparison to EU-28 average, but there are also relatively large regional disparities in our country. Nevertheless, the largest part of the uneven spatial development in Serbia lies in pronounced and growing inequalities within the regions ? intraregional disparities are greater than the interregional ones. This paper aims to investigate the existence of club convergence on NUTS 3 level in Serbia. While a common approach is based on a priori dividing units of observation into individual groups based on some of their particular characteristics, we use a method that allows identification of clusters of convergence by using an algorithm that is data-driven and thereby avoids a priori classification of the data into subgroups. We use data on GVA per capita for NUTS 3 level in Serbia, for the period 2001-2016. Our results show that there are three convergence clubs in Serbia, while two districts - Belgrade district and South Backa district show no signs of convergence with any of the other clubs or between themselves.
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塞尔维亚的区域内不平等——对俱乐部趋同的考验
与欧盟28国的平均水平相比,不仅塞尔维亚所有地区都不发达,而且我国也存在较大的地区差距。然而,塞尔维亚空间发展不平衡的最主要原因在于区域内明显和日益严重的不平等。区域内差异大于区域间差异。本文旨在探讨塞尔维亚NUTS 3水平上俱乐部收敛的存在性。虽然常见的方法是基于先验地将观察单位根据其某些特定特征划分为单个组,但我们使用的方法允许通过使用数据驱动的算法识别收敛簇,从而避免将数据先验地分类为子组。我们使用2001-2016年期间塞尔维亚NUTS 3水平的人均GVA数据。我们的结果表明,在塞尔维亚有三个趋同俱乐部,而两个区-贝尔格莱德区和南巴卡区显示没有趋同的迹象与任何其他俱乐部或彼此之间。
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