Evaluation of extreme storm waves in the Black Sea

IF 1.7 3区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Journal of Operational Oceanography Pub Date : 2020-03-09 DOI:10.1080/1755876X.2020.1736748
M. Bernardino, Liliana Rusu, Carlos Soares
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

ABSTRACT The objective of the present study is to give a contribution to the extreme wave climate assessment in the Black Sea, as studies of extreme storm waves are of great interest for coastal protection and maritime traffic. High resolution wind wave data sets are used to investigate trends and variability of the characteristics of extreme storm waves. Two different methodologies (Eulerian and Lagrangean) are applied to 30 years of wave hindcast from 1987 to 2016, over the Black Sea to identify extreme storm waves and also to assess the extreme wave climate. Using the Eulerian methodology, it is observed that extreme storm waves are seasonal, being more frequent during the winter and almost non-existent during the summer. Also, that some areas, as the south-eastern region of the Black Sea more prone to storm generation, in particular, during winter and autumn. For the seven locations near the coast, a considerable inter-annual variability is found in extreme values, but not so much in the mean. Statistical significance in trend adjustment was only found in two locations in the north-western coast, for extreme values. Using a Lagrangean methodology, an inter-annual variability in all storm characteristics that is found, more marked in the annual number of wave storms, maximum area affected by storm waves and maximum length, and less marked for maximum Hs in the storm waves and storm lifetime.
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黑海极端风暴波的评估
本研究的目的是为黑海极端风暴波气候评估做出贡献,因为极端风暴波的研究对海岸保护和海上交通具有重要意义。高分辨率风浪数据集用于研究极端风浪特征的趋势和变率。两种不同的方法(欧拉和拉格朗日)应用于1987年至2016年黑海30年的海浪后发,以识别极端风暴波并评估极端海浪气候。使用欧拉方法,观察到极端风暴波是季节性的,在冬季更频繁,在夏季几乎不存在。此外,一些地区,如黑海东南部地区,更容易产生风暴,特别是在冬季和秋季。对于靠近海岸的7个地点,在极端值中发现了相当大的年际变化,但在平均值中却没有这么多。趋势调整的统计意义仅在西北海岸的两个地点发现,对于极端值。使用拉格朗日方法,发现所有风暴特征的年际变化,在风暴的年数量、受风暴影响的最大面积和最大长度上更为明显,而在风暴波和风暴寿命的最大Hs上标记较少。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
9.70%
发文量
8
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Operational Oceanography will publish papers which examine the role of oceanography in contributing to the fields of: Numerical Weather Prediction; Development of Climatologies; Implications of Ocean Change; Ocean and Climate Forecasting; Ocean Observing Technologies; Eutrophication; Climate Assessment; Shoreline Change; Marine and Sea State Prediction; Model Development and Validation; Coastal Flooding; Reducing Public Health Risks; Short-Range Ocean Forecasting; Forces on Structures; Ocean Policy; Protecting and Restoring Ecosystem health; Controlling and Mitigating Natural Hazards; Safe and Efficient Marine Operations
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