What Kinds of Distributed Generation Technologies Defer Network Expansions? Evidence from France

N. Astier, R. Rajagopal, F. Wolak
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Abstract

This paper estimates the relationship between investments in five distributed generation technologies and hourly net injections to the distribution grid for over 2,000 substations in France between 2005 and 2018. We find that investments in distributed wind and solar capacity have little or no impact on the annual peak of hourly net injections to the distribution grid, while investments in hydroelectric and thermal distributed generation significantly reduce it. An optimistic analysis of battery storage suggests that high levels of investments are required for distributed wind and solar investments to deliver similar reductions in the annual peak of hourly net injections.
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何种分布式发电技术延缓了网络扩展?来自法国的证据
本文估计了2005年至2018年间法国2000多个变电站对五种分布式发电技术的投资与每小时向配电网注入净电量之间的关系。我们发现,分布式风能和太阳能发电能力的投资对配电网小时净注入的年峰值影响很小或没有影响,而水电和热分布式发电的投资则显著降低了它。一项对电池储能的乐观分析表明,分布式风能和太阳能投资需要高水平的投资,才能在每小时净注入的年度峰值中实现类似的减少。
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