Sociological approach to the Fermi paradox

Abstract

Since 1950, scientists have been discussing the Fermi paradox – the lack of signs of life and reason of other civilizations. This is surprising, since the latter can be millions, or maybe billions older than the earth and therefore must have the appropriate technological capabilities. The article addresses this problem from the point of view of mathematical modeling and the theory of self-organization. The dynamics of other worlds are investigated, and it is shown that their existence is determined by social instability. This instability relates to the contradiction between "cosmic people," insisting on the expansion of their civilization and "molecular," who believe that the main thing is to preserve what has been achieved. The results obtained make us take a fresh look at the management of the risks of the development of terrestrial civilization and attempts to contact other worlds.