Statistical analysis of the mean relative variability of monthly, seasonal and annual precipitation at the main synoptic stations in the South Morava sub-basin to the Korvingrad hydrological station

Milan Miletić, Jovana Vuletić
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Abstract

The aim of this work is to determine the variability of precipitation in the area of the sub-basin of the South Curve up to the hydrological station Korvingrad. Data from the synoptic stations Leskovac, Vranje and Kuršumlija for a period of 30 years (1991-2020) were used. The mean relative variability of monthly, seasonal and annual precipitation and their ten-year values were used to compare the results of all synoptic stations in the sub-basin. The results showed that the highest mean variability of precipitation in the studied period was recorded at the Vranje synoptic station (22.4%) and the lowest value at the station in Leskovac (18.4%). The comparison of ten-year values showed that the lowest values of mean relative variability of annual precipitation in the period 2001-2010 were recorded at all synoptic stations. The study showed that the extreme values of mean relative variability of precipitation occurred earlier or later during the second and third ten-year periods compared to the first ten-year period. The study showed that the values of mean relative variability of monthly precipitation were lowest in months with high precipitation.
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南莫拉瓦子流域至科尔文格勒水文站主要天气站月、季、年降水平均相对变率的统计分析
这项工作的目的是确定降水的变化在南曲线的子盆地地区,直到科文格勒水文站。使用了Leskovac、Vranje和Kuršumlija天气站30年(1991-2020年)的资料。利用月、季、年降水的平均相对变率及其10年值,比较了子流域各天气站的观测结果。结果表明:研究时段降水平均变率最高的是Vranje天气站(22.4%),最低的是Leskovac天气站(18.4%);年平均相对变率的比较结果表明,2001—2010年各天气站的年平均相对变率均为最低值。研究表明,与第一个10年期相比,第2、3个10年期降水平均相对变率的极值出现的时间早或晚。研究表明,月平均降水相对变率在降水多的月份最低。
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