Research on civil-military integration degree of weapon equipment research and production by system dynamics model

L. Xiaosong, Lv Bin, Jia Yujiao
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Abstract

The scientific analysis about Civil-military integration degree is foundation for Civil-military integration of weapon equipment research and production system. This paper defined concept about Civil-military integration degree, analyzed the model of Civil-military integration degree, designed causal relationship diagram of Civil-military integration degree, gave seven main variables to describe causal relationship diagram of Civil-military integration degree, the main variables included Market Concentration Rate, Efficiency of Resource Allocation, Market Access, Economies of Scale, Technological Innovation, Risk and Effectiveness, get six feedback loop for causal relationship diagram of Civil-military integration degree, established flowchart of System Dynamics model for Civil-military integration degree, constructed System Dynamics model of Civil-military integration degree. On this basis, simulated and analyzed Civil-military integration degree for three fields of weapon equipment research and production, get the optimal Civil-military integration degree for three fields of weapon equipment research and production. The conclusion will have definitely meaning to set up Civil-military integration of weapon equipment research and production system which have Chinese characteristics.
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基于系统动力学模型的武器装备研发军民融合度研究
军民融合程度的科学分析是武器装备科研生产系统军民融合的基础。本文界定了军民融合程度的概念,分析了军民融合程度模型,设计了军民融合程度因果关系图,给出了描述军民融合程度因果关系图的7个主要变量,主要变量包括市场集中度、资源配置效率、市场准入、规模经济、技术创新、风险和有效性。得到军民融合度因果关系图的六个反馈回路,建立军民融合度系统动力学模型流程图,构建军民融合度系统动力学模型。在此基础上,对武器装备研究与生产三个领域的军民融合度进行仿真分析,得到武器装备研究与生产三个领域的最优军民融合度。研究结论对构建具有中国特色的军民融合武器装备研发生产体系具有一定的指导意义。
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