Impact of Unemployment, Wages and Inflation on the Increase of Trade and Growth

Ergin Akalpler
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Abstract

ABSTRACT In this study, annual time series data is utilized to estimate the effects of unemployment, wages and inflation on the enlargement of trade and growth for Turkey between 1985 and 2015. Calculations show that OLS results can be spread and considered for a selected sample period where the results indicate that devaluing the Turkish lira made a limited contribution to Turkish trade. According to the Johansen cointegration test results for CPI and unemployment, the relationship reaches equilibrium in the long run. However, the effect of inflation and unemployment on trade enlargement is not significant and did not contribute to making Turkish producers competitive in international markets.
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失业、工资和通货膨胀对贸易增长的影响
在本研究中,利用年度时间序列数据来估计失业、工资和通货膨胀对土耳其1985年至2015年间贸易扩大和增长的影响。计算表明,OLS的结果可以在选定的样本期间进行推广和考虑,其中结果表明,土耳其里拉贬值对土耳其贸易的贡献有限。根据CPI与失业率的Johansen协整检验结果,从长期来看,两者的关系趋于均衡。然而,通货膨胀和失业对贸易扩大的影响并不大,也无助于使土耳其生产者在国际市场上具有竞争力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Comparative Asian Development
Journal of Comparative Asian Development Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: The Journal of Comparative Asian Development (JCAD) aims to offer the most up-to-date research, analyses, and findings on the many aspects of social, economic, and political development in contemporary Asia conducted by scholars and experts from Asia and around the world.
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