Retirement planning guidelines: a Delphi study of financial planners and educators

Sue Alexander Greninger , Vickie L. Hampton , Karrol A. Kitt , Susan Jacquet
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引用次数: 44

Abstract

Retirement planning guidelines were determined using a Delphi research design among 188 financial planners and educators. Consensus was found for using a 4% inflation rate, an 8.5% rate of return on investments, and a replacement ratio of 70–89% of current income when making retirement projections. Nine-tenths of the experts agreed that families should have achieved 50–60% of their retirement savings goal by age 50 and 85–90% by age 60. Regarding asset allocation, over 60% felt it was prudent to start moving toward more conservative investments about 3–5 years before retirement. Recommendations were developed on the proportion of growth-oriented equities to hold at various points prior to and after retiring. While the level of consensus was high, occupational and gender differences were noted.

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退休计划指南:财务规划师和教育工作者的德尔菲研究
在188名财务规划师和教育工作者中,采用德尔菲研究设计确定了退休计划指南。在进行退休预测时,使用4%的通货膨胀率,8.5%的投资回报率和当前收入的70-89%的替代率是一致的。十分之九的专家认为,家庭应该在50岁之前实现退休储蓄目标的50 - 60%,在60岁之前实现85-90%。在资产配置方面,超过60%的人认为在退休前3-5年左右开始转向更保守的投资是谨慎的。在退休前后的不同时间点,对成长型股票的持有比例提出了建议。虽然协商一致的程度很高,但注意到职业和性别的差异。
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