Predictable crises shape public opinion: evidence from the COVID-19 natural experiment

IF 2 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2021-05-31 DOI:10.1080/17457289.2021.1924731
Taka-aki Asano, Tomoki Kaneko, Shoko Omori, Shusuke Takamiya, M. Taniguchi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

ABSTRACT How do the predictable COVID-19-related medical and economic crises affect public opinion? To answer this question, we analyze a nationwide random sampling survey (n = 2053 respondents) coinciding with the period from the beginning of the outbreak of COVID-19 to its peak. This scale and timing enable us to trace a shift in public opinion. We find that the levels of public support for big government had increased before the spread of COVID-19. Furthermore, the results show that with the sudden growth of patients, people predicted a future economic crisis and thus demanded the government to implement economic stimulus measures to reduce damage. Our findings imply that public opinion is formed earlier than crises actually materialize.
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可预测的危机影响公众舆论:来自COVID-19自然实验的证据
可预见的新冠肺炎相关医疗和经济危机如何影响公众舆论?为了回答这个问题,我们分析了一项全国范围内的随机抽样调查(n = 2053名受访者),该调查恰逢COVID-19爆发开始到高峰期间。这种规模和时机使我们能够追踪公众舆论的转变。我们发现,在新冠肺炎疫情蔓延之前,公众对大政府的支持程度有所提高。此外,结果表明,随着患者的突然增长,人们预测未来的经济危机,从而要求政府实施经济刺激措施,以减少损害。我们的研究结果表明,公众舆论的形成早于危机实际出现。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
5.60%
发文量
21
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