Leukemia and cardiovascular diseases in the Techa river cohort: New interpretation required -

Sergei V. Jargin
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

The relatively large discharges of radioactive materials into the Techa River in the Southern Urals occurred between the years 1949 and 1956. The most exposed individuals were residents of villages along the river. On the author’s opinion, certain studies tended to exaggerate the relationship between the radiation exposure and enhanced risks e.g. of cardiovascular diseases or leukemia in the Techa River cohort. The study on the cardiovascular diseases was commented previously. The cohort members must have been generally aware of their dose estimates calculated on the basis of their age and residence history. Individuals with higher dose estimates were probably on average more motivated to undergo medical examinations, being at the same time given on average more attention. Accordingly, a detection probability of chronic disease would be probably higher in people with higher dose estimates. One of the mechanisms explaining for correlations between the low-dose radiation exposure and health risks is apparently a dose-dependent difference in the quality and frequency of medical examinations. The dose-effect relationships after low-dose exposures should be studied in animal experiments with exactly known doses and dose rates, possibly shielded from biases and confounding factors.
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特查河队列中的白血病和心血管疾病:需要新的解释
在1949年到1956年之间,大量放射性物质被排放到乌拉尔南部的Techa河。受影响最大的是沿河村庄的居民。在作者看来,某些研究倾向于夸大辐射暴露与特查河队列中心血管疾病或白血病等风险增加之间的关系。前文对心血管疾病的研究进行了评述。队列成员必须普遍了解根据其年龄和居住史计算的剂量估计值。估计剂量较高的个人平均而言可能更有动力接受医疗检查,同时平均得到更多的关注。因此,在剂量估计值较高的人群中,慢性病的检测概率可能更高。解释低剂量辐射照射与健康风险之间相关性的机制之一显然是医疗检查质量和频率的剂量依赖性差异。低剂量暴露后的剂量效应关系应在动物实验中进行研究,以确切已知的剂量和剂量率,尽可能避免偏差和混杂因素。
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