Airside terminal traffic flow problem formulation under extreme weather: A case study in the Hong Kong International Airport

Abstract

As one of the busiest international airports, Hong Kong International Airport has to handle a large number of flights every day. It is essential for air traffic controllers to assign flight schedules within a short period of time. Under extreme weather, especially when tropical cyclones edge close to Hong Kong, it is of great importance to arrange the flights to perform appropriate actions such that aviation safety could be guaranteed. Thus, an accurate weather forecast is paramount under such circumstances. SARIMA model is adopted in this paper to predict wind speed for flights. A network model has also been constructed using the prediction of wind speed from the SARIMA model to minimise the time required for the flights to be landed on the runway.