Comment on 'Pubic Health Efforts and the Decline in Urban Mortality'

D. Cutler, Grant Miller
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

In this comment, we address points raised by Mark Anderson, Kerwin Charles, and Daniel Rees’s August 2018 NBER working paper entitled “Pubic Health Efforts and the Decline in Urban Mortality.” The points generally fall into three categories: (1) assignment of differing clean water intervention dates, (2) construction of differing mortality rates using different population denominators, and (3) computation of correct standard errors. Ultimately, a large share of the discrepancies between our 2005 analysis and theirs is due to the construction of population denominators for mortality rates when such denominators are not known for certain. After carefully considering their points and correcting the unambiguous mistakes in our original data, our revised estimates suggest that municipal water disinfection (filtration) explains 38% of the mortality decline in our sample cities and study years – a result not dramatically different from the estimated 43% in the original paper.
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评“公共卫生努力与城市死亡率下降”
在这篇评论中,我们讨论了马克·安德森、克尔温·查尔斯和丹尼尔·里斯在2018年8月NBER题为“公共卫生努力和城市死亡率下降”的工作论文中提出的观点。这些点一般分为三类:(1)分配不同的清洁水干预日期,(2)使用不同的人口分母构建不同的死亡率,(3)计算正确的标准误差。最终,我们2005年的分析与他们的分析之间的很大一部分差异是由于死亡率的人口分母的构建,而这种分母是不确定的。在仔细考虑了他们的观点并纠正了原始数据中明确的错误之后,我们的修正估计表明,在我们的样本城市和研究年份中,市政用水消毒(过滤)解释了38%的死亡率下降——这一结果与原始论文中估计的43%没有显著差异。
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