Incidence of Enteric Fever in a Pediatric Cohort in North India: Comparison with Estimates from 20 Years Earlier

Bireshwar Sinha, Temsunaro Rongsen-Chandola, Nidhi Goyal, A. Arya, Chandra Mohan Kumar, A. Chakravarty, M. Aslam, Deepa More
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Abstract Background An earlier cohort in 1995–1996 showed a very high burden of typhoid in Delhi. Our aim was to estimate the current overall and age-specific incidence of culture-confirmed enteric fever among children aged 6 months to 15 years in Delhi. Methods We enrolled a cohort of 6000 children aged 6 months to <14 years in South Delhi and followed them up weekly for 24 months or until 15 completed years of child age, whichever was earlier. Blood culture to confirm enteric fever was done in children with ≥3 consecutive days of fever. Results We recorded a total of 14 650 episodes of fever in the 11 510 person-years (PY) of follow-up. A total of 81 fever episodes were positive for enteric fever. The incidence (95% confidence interval) of all enteric fever was 703.7 (560.5–874.7) per 100 000 PY. The incidences of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers were 608.1 (95% confidence interval, 481.1–768.7) and 111.7 (59.5–191.1) per 100 000 PY, respectively, highest among children aged 10–15 years. Conclusions Despite a 35% reduction in incidence compared with the 1995–1996 cohort, our study suggested a substantial burden of enteric fever in the population. Continued efforts to improve water, sanitation, and hygiene parameters along with implementation of novel vaccination strategies and disease surveillance can help achieve the goal of disease elimination.
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印度北部儿童肠道热的发病率:与20年前估计的比较
背景1995-1996年的早期队列显示,德里伤寒负担非常高。我们的目的是估计目前德里6个月至15岁儿童中培养证实的肠道热的总体发病率和年龄特异性发病率。方法:我们在南德里招募了6000名6个月至14岁以下的儿童,每周随访24个月或直到15岁儿童年龄,以较早者为准。连续发热≥3天的患儿进行血培养以确认肠热。结果随访11 510人年,共记录发热14 650次。共有81例发热期肠热呈阳性。所有肠道发热的发病率(95%可信区间)为703.7例(560.5 ~ 874.7例)/ 10万PY。伤寒和副伤寒的发病率分别为每10万日元608.1例(95%可信区间为481.1 ~ 768.7例)和111.7例(95%可信区间为59.5 ~ 191.1例),以10 ~ 15岁儿童最高。结论:尽管与1995-1996年队列相比发病率降低了35%,但我们的研究表明,人群中存在大量的肠热负担。继续努力改善水、环境卫生和个人卫生参数,同时实施新的疫苗接种战略和疾病监测,有助于实现消除疾病的目标。
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