Effect of Budget Finance on Economic Growth in Nigeria

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies Pub Date : 2022-09-04 DOI:10.47941/ijecop.1020
Adewale Segun Amos, Moses Ekperiware Ekperiware, John A. Oyetade, Adeyinka Adewusi
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Abstract

Purpose: This study investigated the effect of budget finance on Nigeria’s economic growth using annual data from 1991 to 2021 and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag technique. Methodology: The E-Views 10 statistical software was employed to carry out multiple Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to co-integration proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) to empirically analyses the long- and short-run effect of budget finance on economic growth in Nigeria 1991 to 2021. Results: The results of the study showed that government capital expenditures during the period had negative and non – significant effects on Nigeria’s real gross domestic product but recurrent expenditure and debt shows that there is positive and significant relationship with Nigeria’s real gross domestic product. The results suggested that there should be proper monitoring in the capital expenditure project in order to contribute positively to the economic growth in Nigeria. Unique Contribution to Theory, Policy and Practices: The study recommends that government should improve in their capital expenditure for increase in the growth of the economics. In addition, the government should ensure adequate capital and recurrent expenditure implementation in the country, particularly in construction of roads and buildings, and efficient capital budget implementation in the country. Moreover, is it advisable for government to reduce the level of borrowings because if continues it will lead to debts of the country.
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预算财政对尼日利亚经济增长的影响
目的:利用1991年至2021年的年度数据和自回归分布滞后技术,研究预算财政对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。方法:采用E-Views 10统计软件,采用Pesaran等人(2001)提出的多元自回归分布滞后(ARDL)协整方法,实证分析尼日利亚1991 - 2021年预算财政对经济增长的长期和短期影响。结果:研究结果表明,这一时期的政府资本支出对尼日利亚的实际国内生产总值具有负向和不显著的影响,但经常性支出和债务与尼日利亚的实际国内生产总值存在正向和显著的关系。结果表明,为了对尼日利亚的经济增长做出积极贡献,应该对资本支出项目进行适当的监控。对理论、政策和实践的独特贡献:研究建议政府应改善资本支出以促进经济增长。此外,政府应确保国内有足够的资本和经常性支出,特别是在道路和建筑物建设方面,并确保国内有效的资本预算执行。此外,政府是否应该降低借贷水平,因为如果继续下去,它将导致国家的债务。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
75
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